As Week 11 of the 2026 regular season approaches, the North Texas Mean Green are set to travel to San Antonio to take on the UTSA Roadrunners. Both teams enter the Alamodome with identical overall records of 7-2, making this a pivotal game in the American conference. The game is scheduled for Saturday, November 14, at 9:00 PM and will be broadcast on ESNU. The North Texas Mean Green have been impressive, especially within their conference, holding an unblemished 5-0 conference record. Their recent performance includes a dominant 52-23 victory over the Rice Owls, highlighting their offensive capabilities. With a road record of 2-2, they'll be looking to improve their away game form against the Roadrunners. The UTSA Roadrunners, enjoying a perfect 4-0 home record, will aim to leverage their home-field advantage at the Alamodome. Despite a setback in their last game against Florida Atlantic, where they fell 60-29, the Roadrunners have shown resilience throughout the season. Their ability to bounce back from a loss will be critical as they face a strong North Texas squad.

UTSA vs North Texas At a Glance (Week 11)

  • Game Location: Alamodome in San Antonio, TX
  • Game Date and Time: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 9:00 PM
  • Broadcast Channel: ESNU
  • North Texas Record: 7-2 overall, 5-0 conference
  • UTSA Record: 7-2 overall, 4-1 conference
  • Betting Odds: North Texas -127, UTSA +106

UTSA Roadrunners Ready to Charge at Home

Offensive Overview

The UTSA Roadrunners have been on a consistent offensive stride this season, ranking 31st nationally with 297 points scored. Their ground game has been a highlight, with 1,643 rushing yards placing them 37th in the country. Despite a dip in their passing game ranking at 69th with 2,067 yards, they have managed to maintain an aggressive offensive approach.

Leading the charge is quarterback Owen McCown, who has made significant contributions with 2,016 passing yards and 13 touchdowns this season. His precision and decision-making have been crucial for UTSA's offensive strategy.

Defensive Performance

Defensively, the Roadrunners face challenges, ranking 127th in points against with 268. However, they have shown prowess in creating turnovers, with seven interceptions and six fumbles recovered, ranking them 8th and 6th respectively. Their ability to disrupt the opposing offense will be key in their upcoming game.

The defensive line's capacity to pressure the quarterback has resulted in 10 sacks, ranking them 27th. Continued pressure could be pivotal in offsetting their overall defensive struggles.

Key Players to Watch

Running back Will Henderson III has been a standout performer, accumulating 682 rushing yards and five touchdowns. His dual-threat capability as a receiver, with 106 receiving yards, adds another dimension to UTSA's offense.

In the receiving corps, Mekhi Anderson has been a reliable target, leading with 434 receiving yards and five touchdowns. His ability to stretch the field and create separation makes him a critical component of the passing attack.

Injury Concerns

The Roadrunners will be missing key players due to injuries, including Bryson Donnell and Johnny Bowens III, both out for the season. Brandon Tucker and Jarvse Dickerson are listed as questionable, which may impact the team's depth.

These absences will require other players to step up, particularly in the running back and defensive lines, to maintain their competitive edge.

Betting Trends

  • O/U - Home Games: Last 14 Games (2024–2026) → 14-0 (100.0%)
  • SU - Home Games: Last 28 Games (2022–2026) → 25-3 (89.3%)
  • SU - After Loss: Last 6 Games (2025–2026) → 6-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U - After Loss: Last 11 Games (2024–2026) → 10-1 (90.9%)
  • SU - As Favorite: Last 28 Games (2023–2026) → 22-6 (78.6%)
  • O/U - All Games: Last 28 Games (2024–2026) → 21-7 (75.0%)
  • O/U - As Favorite: Last 19 Games (2024–2026) → 15-4 (78.9%)
  • O/U - After Win: Last 4 Games (2026) → 4-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U - Totals ≥ 50: Last 26 Games (2024–2026) → 19-7 (73.1%)
  • ATS - As Underdog: Last 3 Games (2025–2026) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS - After Loss: Last 10 Games (2024–2026) → 8-2 (80.0%)
  • ATS - Home Games: Last 18 Games (2023–2026) → 13-5 (72.2%)

North Texas Mean Green's Offensive Prowess and Defensive Struggles

Quarterback Leadership

The North Texas Mean Green's offense is led by Tayven Jackson, who has been a crucial part of their offensive success. With 2880 passing yards and 23 touchdowns in nine games, Jackson ranks third and seventh in those categories, respectively. His efficient play has been instrumental in North Texas ranking second in passing yards this season.

Chaston Ditta has served as a capable backup, though he is currently questionable with an undisclosed injury. He has played four games, throwing for 159 yards and one touchdown. With Ditta's uncertain status, the team will rely heavily on Jackson to maintain their offensive momentum.

Rushing Attack

Jahiem White has been a standout in the rushing department for North Texas. With 1193 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns, White ranks second in the nation in rushing yards and fifth in rushing touchdowns. His dual-threat capability is further demonstrated by his 33 receptions for 308 receiving yards.

Brendon Haygood complements White in the backfield, contributing 216 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Despite not having the same volume of carries as White, Haygood adds depth to the running game, which ranks 28th nationally.

Receiving Corps

Justin Stevenson leads the receiving unit with 55 receptions for 898 yards and eight touchdowns. His performance places him among the top receivers, ranking 22nd in receptions and 10th in receiving yards. Stevenson's contributions have been pivotal in North Texas's passing game, which ranks second nationally.

Kyle Koch and Baron Tipton also provide reliable targets for Jackson. Koch has 27 receptions and six touchdowns, while Tipton has caught 17 passes for 260 yards and three touchdowns. These receivers add depth and versatility to the Mean Green's aerial attack.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU - As Favorite: 26-3 (89.7%) over the last 29 games (2023–2026)
  • SU - Home Games: 8-0 (100.0%) over the last 8 games (2025–2026)
  • O/U - All Games: 7-0 (100.0%) in the last 7 games (2026)
  • O/U - Totals ≥ 50: 7-0 (100.0%) in the last 7 games (2026)
  • O/U - Away Games: 14-2 (87.5%) over the last 16 games (2024–2026)
  • SU - All Games: 19-4 (82.6%) over the last 23 games (2024–2026)
  • SU - Totals ≥ 50: 19-4 (82.6%) over the last 23 games (2024–2026)
  • O/U - As Favorite: 6-0 (100.0%) in the last 6 games (2026)
  • O/U - After Win: 6-0 (100.0%) in the last 6 games (2026)
  • SU - After Win: 20-5 (80.0%) over the last 25 games (2023–2026)

UTSA vs North Texas Week 11 Prediction: UTSA +2.5

UTSA enters this game with a strong record at the Alamodome, boasting a 4-0 home record this season. This provides a significant edge, especially when considering their impressive track record of bouncing back after losses. UTSA has covered the spread in their last three games as underdogs, which makes them an attractive pick against the spread.

North Texas, while being strong overall, has shown some vulnerability on the road with a 2-2 record. Their defense has allowed 278 points this season, ranking 132nd, which could pose challenges against UTSA's resilient offense. UTSA's ability to perform well at home and their record of 25-3 SU in their last 28 home games further solidifies their potential to cover the spread.

With both teams having identical 7-2 records, the game is expected to be closely contested. However, UTSA's home advantage and their strong recovery record after losses suggest that they can keep this game within a close margin or even secure a win. The total points over trend for UTSA is noteworthy, but the key focus here is their ability to cover the spread.

Expect a high-scoring affair, but UTSA’s home-field advantage and bounce-back ability make them a prudent pick ATS. Projecting a tight game, UTSA should manage to cover the spread, with a potential scoreline reflecting their home success.

  • UTSA vs North Texas Prediction: UTSA +2.5
  • UTSA vs North Texas Score: UTSA 38 - North Texas 35

Disclaimer: Knup Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only. Must be 21+ where applicable. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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