UTSA vs Navy Prediction & Betting Tips for Week 7 on 10/17/2026

The Navy Midshipmen head into Week 7 of the 2026 Regular Season with a 2-3 record, looking to secure their first road win of the year. Despite a strong home performance, their away record stands at 0-3, highlighting the need for improvement on the road. Their most recent outing was a victory against Tulsa, where they displayed a potent rushing attack.

On the other side, the UTSA Roadrunners have established a solid 5-1 season thus far, with a perfect 3-0 record at home. They will look to extend their winning streak at the Alamodome, where they recently defeated South Florida. The Roadrunners' balanced offense will be crucial as they aim to maintain their unbeaten run at home.

This American Conference showdown is set to take place on Saturday, October 17, 2026, at 8:00 PM in the Alamodome. Broadcast on ESNU, the game promises an exciting matchup under the dome's roof. Fans can expect a competitive battle as both teams strive to strengthen their conference standings.

UTSA vs Navy At a Glance (Week 7)

• Game Location: Alamodome in San Antonio, TX
• Game Time: Saturday, October 17, 2026, at 8:00 PM
• Broadcast: ESNU
• Navy Midshipmen Record: 2-3 Overall, 0-3 on the road
• UTSA Roadrunners Record: 5-1 Overall, 3-0 at home
• Game Odds: UTSA favored by 6.5 points; Total set at 55.0

The UTSA Roadrunners: Charting a Course for Victory at the Alamodome

Offensive Overview

The UTSA Roadrunners have displayed a balanced offensive attack this season, ranking 36th in points scored with 188. Their passing game has accumulated 1263 yards, placing them 68th, while the ground game is a formidable 30th with 1155 rushing yards.

First downs have come relatively easy for the Roadrunners, achieving 124 to rank 29th. This offensive efficiency will be crucial as they aim to maintain control of the game.

Defensive Dynamics

On the defensive side, UTSA has shown some vulnerabilities, giving up 155 points to rank 96th. However, their pass rush has been effective, securing 6 sacks, which is good for 17th in the nation.

Interceptions have been a bright spot, with the team ranking 6th nationally by securing 5 picks. Their ability to recover fumbles has also been notable, ranking 8th with 2 recoveries.

Quarterback Leadership

Owen McCown leads the charge at quarterback for UTSA, having played in 6 games this season. He has thrown for 1219 yards and 7 touchdowns while limiting interceptions to just 2.

His experience and decision-making will be pivotal in navigating the Roadrunners through their upcoming schedule, starting with the game against Navy.

Rushing and Receiving Threats

The running back duo of Will Henderson III and A'Marion Peterson has been effective, with Henderson rushing for 484 yards and Peterson adding 286 yards along with 7 touchdowns. This tandem provides a dynamic rushing attack that can change the course of the game.

In the receiving corps, Mekhi Anderson leads with 234 yards on 23 receptions, while DJ Allen Jr. has been a deep threat with 269 yards. Both receivers have contributed 2 touchdowns each, highlighting their importance in the passing game.

Kicking Game

Michael Petro has been reliable in the kicking department, successfully converting 10 field goals and 21 extra points. His consistency will be essential in close games.

Petro’s ability to deliver under pressure adds an extra dimension to the Roadrunners' scoring arsenal.

Recent Performance

UTSA has been on a roll, winning four of their last five games. Their most recent outing was a 31-24 victory over South Florida at home.

The Roadrunners will look to continue this momentum as they prepare to host the Navy Midshipmen in their next game at the Alamodome.

Injury Concerns

Several key players are currently sidelined due to injuries, including Bryson Donnell, Johnny Bowens III, and Marcellus Wilkerson. Additionally, Lawrence Brown Jr. and Sekope Wallace are questionable for the upcoming game.

These absences could impact UTSA's depth, but their strong overall performance thus far suggests they can adapt and overcome.

Team Betting Trends

• O/U - Home Games: 13-0 over the last 13 games.
• SU - Home Games: 24-3 over the last 27 games.
• SU - After Loss: 6-0 over the last 6 games.
• ATS - Home Games: 13-4 over the last 17 games.
• SU - As Favorite: 20-5 over the last 25 games.

Navy Midshipmen Set Sail for a Challenge: Previewing Their Next Opponent

Offensive Strengths

The Navy Midshipmen have consistently demonstrated a powerful ground game, ranking 4th in the nation with 1,495 rushing yards in the 2026 regular season. This has been a critical element of their strategy, allowing them to control the pace and dynamics of their games. Despite their success on the ground, their passing game lags significantly, with only 510 passing yards and a national rank of 127th.

Jackson Gutierrez, Navy's leading quarterback, has contributed 439 passing yards and four touchdowns so far this season. His performance is crucial as Navy aims to improve their aerial attack. With Vic Listorti and Michael Barrow leading the rushing efforts, the Midshipmen's backfield remains a formidable force.

Defensive Prowess

Defensively, the Midshipmen have been effective in generating turnovers, ranking 4th in interceptions with three picks this season. Their ability to apply pressure on the quarterback is also evident, as they have recorded 11 sacks, placing them 12th nationally. This defensive strength could be pivotal in their upcoming games.

However, the Navy defense has allowed 117 points against, placing them 69th in this category. Improving their defensive consistency will be key as they face more challenging opponents. The team's current form showcases both strengths in creating turnovers and areas needing improvement in overall defensive solidity.

Recent Performance

Navy's recent games highlight a mixed form, with a 2-3 record in their last five outings. Their most recent victory was against Tulsa, where they won 34-26, showcasing their offensive capabilities with 388 rushing yards. Conversely, close losses against Air Force and UAB indicate their struggle to close out tight games.

In their loss to Florida Atlantic, despite scoring 30 points, Navy allowed 38, indicating a need for defensive adjustments. Their ability to rack up first downs, as shown in their win over Towson with 30 first downs, reflects their strategic approach to dominate possession.

Key Players to Watch

Vic Listorti remains a crucial player with 208 rushing yards and two touchdowns, while Michael Barrow adds depth with 280 rushing yards. On the receiving end, Truman Brasfield and Luke Hutchison have been key targets, combining for 240 receiving yards and two touchdowns. The Midshipmen's roster depth is evident in their balanced offensive distribution.

Nolan Bartley, the team's kicker, has been reliable with 14 extra points and three field goals, providing stability in the kicking game. His contributions are vital for capitalizing on scoring opportunities in close contests. Keeping an eye on these key players could provide insight into Navy's game dynamics.

Navy Betting Trends

• SU - Home Games: 8-0 in the last 8 games
• SU - As Favorite: 16-3 in the last 19 games
• O/U - Home Games: 12-2 in the last 14 games
• O/U - After Win: 16-4 in the last 20 games
• SU - After Win: 15-4 in the last 19 games
• O/U - As Favorite: 14-4 in the last 18 games
• SU - Totals ≥ 50: 15-5 in the last 20 games
• SU - All Games: 20-8 in the last 28 games
• O/U - All Games: 20-9-1 in the last 30 games
• O/U - Totals ≥ 50: 10-3 in the last 13 games

UTSA vs Navy Week 7 Prediction: Over 55.0

The UTSA Roadrunners have been incredibly effective offensively this season, ranking 36th in points for with 188 points across six games. They have a strong home presence, winning all three of their home games so far. Their offensive capability, combined with their consistent performance at home, suggests a high-scoring affair.

Navy has shown a strong ground game, ranking 4th in rushing yards with 1495 yards this season. Their ability to control the clock and move the chains effectively is evident. Despite their struggles on the road, they managed to put up 34 points against Tulsa, indicating potential for scoring.

UTSA's defensive ranks, 96th in points against, suggest that they are susceptible to allowing points, especially against effective rushing teams like Navy. Navy's defense, allowing 117 points, also shows vulnerability against high-powered offenses. This combination points towards the potential for a higher-scoring game.

Both teams have seen trends of hitting the over, with UTSA going 13-0 over the total in their last 13 home games. Navy's 16-4 record on overs after a win further supports a prediction for a game that surpasses the 55.0 point total.

• UTSA vs Navy Prediction: Over 55.0
• UTSA vs Navy Score: UTSA 35 - Navy 28

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