Texas vs Ole Miss Prediction & Betting Tips for Week 8 on 10/24/2026

The Ole Miss Rebels head into Week 8 of the 2026 season ranked 7th in both the AP and Coaches Polls. With a solid 5-1 record, the Rebels have demonstrated their strength, particularly at home, going undefeated in four games. Their recent victory against Missouri, with a commanding score of 31-3, sets the stage for a challenging road game in Texas.

Meanwhile, the Texas Longhorns, ranked 19th in the AP Poll, are looking to rebound from consecutive losses against Florida and Oklahoma. Texas holds a 4-2 record with a strong 3-1 home performance at the Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium. The Longhorns' resilience at home will be tested in this high-stakes Southeastern Conference matchup.

This matchup is set to be an intriguing battle under the lights in Austin, with kickoff slated for 7:30 PM Eastern Time on ABC. The betting odds slightly favor Texas with a spread of -3.5, while Ole Miss comes in as the underdog with a moneyline of +132. With both teams eager to solidify their standing in the SEC, fans can expect an intense contest.

Texas vs Ole Miss At a Glance (Week 8)

• Game Date and Time: Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
• Venue: Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, TX
• TV Broadcast: ABC
• Ole Miss Rebels Record: 5-1 overall, 3-1 in conference play
• Texas Longhorns Record: 4-2 overall, 1-2 in conference play
• Game Odds: Texas is favored with a moneyline of -158, while Ole Miss is at +132

Texas Longhorns: A Deep Dive into the Home Team's Strengths

Offensive Overview

The Texas Longhorns have generated 181 points this season, placing them 55th in national rankings. Their passing game has produced 1361 yards, ranking 82nd. However, their ground attack has struggled with only 820 rushing yards, standing at 105th place.

Last season, Texas scored 355 points and racked up 2749 passing yards. This indicates a dip in offensive productivity compared to their previous performance. Improving their offensive consistency will be crucial for their success in upcoming games.

Defensive Performance

Texas has allowed 107 points against them this season, which ranks them 57th defensively. Their ability to pressure the quarterback is evident with 19 sacks, earning them the 6th spot in the rankings. The team has also been effective in creating turnovers with 3 interceptions, placing them 4th.

Last year, the Longhorns recorded 38 sacks and 12 interceptions, showing a defensive prowess that continues this season. Maintaining this defensive intensity will be key as they face tougher competition.

Key Players to Watch

Arch Manning is leading the Longhorns' offense, having thrown for 1298 yards and 11 touchdowns in 6 games. Raleek Brown and Hollywood Smothers have been productive in the running game, with 265 and 289 rushing yards respectively. On the receiving end, Cam Coleman and Ryan Wingo have combined for 45 receptions and 681 yards.

Defensively, Colin Simmons, although questionable with a leg injury, has been a significant presence on the field. His return could strengthen the Longhorns' defense even further.

Recent Game Insights

Texas recently suffered a narrow 27-24 loss against the Florida Gators. In that game, their offense managed only 99 rushing yards while allowing 164 on the ground. The Longhorns also lost to Oklahoma with the same 27-24 scoreline, indicating a trend of close games that they need to flip in their favor.

Their victory over Tennessee showed resilience, as they limited the Volunteers to 17 points. However, the 30-6 win against UTSA was a comprehensive display of their offensive and defensive capabilities.

Betting Trends

• SU - Home Games: Last 27 Games → 24-3 (88.9%)
• SU - As Favorite: Last 30 Games → 25-5 (83.3%)
• SU - After Win: Last 30 Games → 25-5 (83.3%)
• SU - Totals ≥ 50: Last 30 Games → 25-5 (83.3%)
• SU - After Loss: Last 12 Games → 10-2 (83.3%)
• ATS - Home Games: Last 24 Games → 13-11 (54.2%)
• O/U - As Favorite: Last 13 Games → 7-6 (53.8%)

Injury Concerns

The Longhorns have a few key players listed as questionable, including Jaydon Chatman and Colin Simmons. Their availability could impact Texas's performance against Ole Miss. The team must adapt to these potential absences to maintain their home game strength.

Ole Miss Rebels: Key Insights and Analysis for the Upcoming Game

Quarterback Situation

Leading the Rebels' charge is quarterback Trinidad Chambliss, who has made a significant impact this season. Chambliss has accumulated 1,676 passing yards with 14 touchdowns across six games, demonstrating his capability to lead the offense effectively. His ability to minimize interceptions, with only four thrown, further underscores his efficiency and decision-making skills on the field.

Backing up Chambliss is Deuce Knight, who has seen limited action in three games. Knight has completed eight passing attempts for 68 yards, contributing to the team’s depth at the quarterback position.

Running Game Dynamics

The Rebels' ground game features Kewan Lacy, who has rushed for 352 yards and scored five touchdowns in five games. Lacy's ability to find the end zone makes him a critical asset in Ole Miss’s offensive strategy.

Makhi Frazier complements Lacy in the backfield with 254 rushing yards this season. Although Frazier has yet to score a rushing touchdown, his presence provides depth and versatility in the running game.

Receiving Corps

Deuce Alexander stands out as the primary receiving threat, having caught 35 passes for 523 yards and five touchdowns. His performance has been instrumental in the Rebels' aerial attack.

Other key contributors include Horatio Fields and Traylon Ray, who have added 234 and 276 receiving yards, respectively. Together, this group provides a balanced and potent receiving unit.

Defensive Outlook

Defensively, the Rebels have allowed 143 points, placing them 81st in points against this season. However, they excel in creating turnovers, ranking 6th in interceptions with five so far.

Ole Miss also boasts a strong pass rush, ranking 14th in sacks with 11 recorded. This aggressive approach can disrupt opposing offenses and create opportunities for the team to capitalize on mistakes.

Team Betting Trends

Texas vs Ole Miss Week 8 Prediction: Ole Miss +3.5

The Texas Longhorns, despite being favored at home, are facing a tough challenge against a high-performing Ole Miss Rebels team. Texas has displayed a solid home record, but their recent performance, including a close loss to Florida, raises questions about their ability to cover the spread against a top-10 team like Ole Miss. The Longhorns are favored by 3.5 points, but their ATS (Against The Spread) performance in home games is only slightly above average at 54.2% in recent games.

Ole Miss, ranked #7, comes into this game with a strong record of 5-1, including a significant win over Missouri. Their road performance has been decent, and their ability to perform well as underdogs is notable. Given their positive ATS record in games with totals over 50 points and their recent success after a win, the Rebels have a strong case to cover the +3.5 spread.

The Rebels have a high-powered offense that ranks 28th in points for this season, compared to Texas's 55th rank. Additionally, Ole Miss's defense, while not elite, has shown the capability to disrupt opposing offenses with a solid sack and interception rate. Texas might struggle to outscore Ole Miss's dynamic offense, making the Rebels a viable pick to cover the spread.

Considering the offensive firepower and Ole Miss's ability to perform under pressure, a projected final score of Ole Miss 31 - Texas 27 supports the selection of Ole Miss +3.5. This game promises a tightly contested battle, but Ole Miss has the edge to cover the spread with their balanced play.

• Texas vs Ole Miss Prediction: Ole Miss +3.5
• Texas vs Ole Miss Score: Ole Miss 31 - Texas 27

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