South Florida vs Memphis Prediction & Betting Tips for Week 11 on 11/12/2026

In Week 11 of the 2026 regular season, the Memphis Tigers will take on the South Florida Bulls at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. The game is set for Thursday, November 12, at 8:00 PM, and will be broadcast on ESPN. This contest presents a pivotal opportunity for both teams within the American Conference.

The Memphis Tigers come into this game with a strong 7-2 record, including an impressive 5-0 mark at home and a balanced 2-2 on the road. Their most recent outing saw them secure a commanding 49-22 victory over the Army Black Knights. Memphis aims to extend their winning streak and strengthen their position in the conference standings.

On the other side, the South Florida Bulls hold a 6-3 record, with a solid 4-1 performance at home. Despite a recent 20-17 loss to the East Carolina Pirates, the Bulls will look to leverage their home-field advantage. A win would be crucial for South Florida to improve their conference record and bolster their postseason aspirations.

South Florida vs Memphis At a Glance (Week 11)

• Game Venue: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL — Outdoor Field
• Game Date and Time: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM
• Broadcast Information: The game will be televised on ESPN
• Memphis Tigers Record: 7-2 overall, 4-1 in conference play
• South Florida Bulls Record: 6-3 overall, 2-3 in conference play
• Betting Odds: Memphis favored with a moneyline of -179 and a spread of -3.5

Bulls Charge Forward: South Florida's Upcoming Home Game Preview

Offensive Overview

The South Florida Bulls' offense has struggled this season, particularly in the passing game. With a total of 1,538 passing yards, they rank 122nd in the nation. However, their rushing game shows more promise with 1,349 yards, placing them 76th nationally.

Michael Van Buren Jr. leads the Bulls' passing attack, although his numbers have been modest with 1,299 yards and 6 touchdowns. Meanwhile, D.J. Crowther's rushing prowess provides a bright spot, having accumulated 689 yards and 7 touchdowns.

Defensive Strengths

Defensively, the Bulls have shown significant improvements from last season. They have allowed 136 points, ranking 58th, and have demonstrated an ability to pressure the quarterback with 23 sacks, placing them 14th.

The Bulls' defensive backfield has been effective at creating turnovers, ranking 3rd with 2 interceptions and 4th with 8 fumbles recovered. This opportunistic defense could be crucial in their upcoming games.

Recent Game Performance

South Florida's recent form has been inconsistent, with a 2-3 record over the last five games. Their most recent game resulted in a narrow 20-17 loss to East Carolina.

Despite the loss, the Bulls' rushing attack outperformed East Carolina with 150 yards compared to 138. They will look to build on this aspect in their next home game.

Team Betting Trends

• SU - Home Games: Last 13 Games (2024–2026) → 12-1 (92.3%)
• SU - As Favorite: Last 22 Games (2023–2026) → 18-4 (81.8%)
• SU - After Loss: Last 8 Games (2024–2026) → 7-1 (87.5%)
• ATS - After Loss: Last 7 Games (2024–2026) → 6-1 (85.7%)
• ATS - Home Games: Last 13 Games (2024–2026) → 10-3 (76.9%)

Memphis Tigers Aim to Continue Winning Streak Against South Florida Bulls

Quarterback Spotlight

The South Florida Bulls will look to their quarterback, Byron Brown, to lead the charge against Memphis. Brown has displayed consistent performance throughout the season, contributing significantly to the team's offensive efforts. His ability to manage the game and make key plays will be crucial for the Bulls' chances.

Rushing Game Analysis

The Bulls' rushing attack is spearheaded by running back Brian Battie. Battie has been a workhorse for South Florida, providing reliability in the ground game. His performance could be a determining factor in controlling the tempo of the game.

Receiving Threats

Xavier Weaver stands out as a primary target in the Bulls' receiving corps. With his knack for creating separation and making clutch catches, Weaver poses a significant threat to the Memphis secondary. His chemistry with Brown will be essential for moving the chains.

Defensive Front

On the defensive side, the Bulls rely on linebacker Antonio Grier to disrupt the Memphis offense. Grier's ability to read plays and make tackles in key situations has been pivotal this season. His leadership on defense will be crucial in containing the Tigers' potent offense.

Secondary Considerations

Cornerback Daquan Evans plays a vital role in the Bulls' secondary, often tasked with covering the opponent's top receivers. Evans' performance in the secondary will be a key factor in limiting Memphis' passing game. His ability to generate turnovers could swing momentum in South Florida's favor.

Special Teams Influence

Kicker Spencer Shrader is a reliable option for South Florida, capable of converting crucial field goals. His accuracy can provide the Bulls with valuable points in tight game situations. Special teams play, including Shrader's contributions, might have a significant impact on the game's outcome.

South Florida Bulls Betting Trends

• SU - Home Games: Last 20 Games → 12-8 (60%)
• ATS - As Underdog: Last 15 Games → 9-6 (60%)
• O/U - Away Games: Last 10 Games → 6-4 (60%)
• ATS - After Loss: Last 12 Games → 7-5 (58.3%)
• O/U - All Games: Last 25 Games → 13-12 (52%)

South Florida vs Memphis Week 11 Prediction: Memphis -3.5

Heading into Week 11, the Memphis Tigers boast a strong 7-2 record, demonstrating a commanding offensive presence, ranking 9th in rushing yards and 13th in passing yards nationally. Their recent decisive 49-22 win over Army has highlighted their ability to capitalize on offensive opportunities. With a solid track record of covering the spread after a win, the Tigers are favored by 3.5 points against South Florida.

South Florida, on the other hand, holds a 6-3 record with a notable 4-1 home record. However, their offense has struggled this season, ranking 122nd in passing yards. Despite their strong home performance and historic ability to bounce back after losses, they face a Memphis team that has proven difficult for them in recent meetings.

Historically, Memphis has dominated this matchup, winning the last four encounters, including a close 34-31 victory in 2025. Their offense has consistently outperformed South Florida, which has struggled to keep up, especially in high-scoring games. Given Memphis's superior offensive stats and South Florida's recent struggles, the Tigers are likely to cover the -3.5 spread.

In what promises to be another high-scoring affair, expect Memphis to continue their offensive momentum and control the game's tempo. The Tigers should prevail with a final score of 34-21, comfortably covering the spread against the Bulls.

• South Florida vs Memphis Prediction: Memphis -3.5
• South Florida vs Memphis Score: Memphis 34 - South Florida 21

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