Penn State vs Purdue Prediction & Betting Tips for Week 9 on 10/31/2026

• This weekend, the Purdue Boilermakers will travel to Beaver Stadium in University Park, PA to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions. Scheduled for a 4:15 PM kickoff on Saturday, October 31, 2026, this Week 9 game will be broadcast on BTN.
• Purdue enters the game with a 3-4 overall record, splitting their conference games with a 2-2 record. On the road, the Boilermakers have found moderate success, achieving a 1-1 record this season.
• On the other side, Penn State also sits at a 3-4 record but has yet to secure a win in the Big Ten, posting a 0-4 conference record. Their performance at home is balanced, standing at 2-2, a factor that could play a pivotal role in this matchup.

Penn State vs Purdue At a Glance (Week 9)

• Game Date & Time: Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 4:15 PM
• Location: Beaver Stadium in University Park, PA
• TV Broadcast: BTN
• Purdue Record: 3-4 overall, 1-1 on the road
• Penn State Record: 3-4 overall, 2-2 at home
• Odds: Penn State -312 Moneyline; Purdue +251 Moneyline

Penn State Nittany Lions: Home Game Preview

Offensive Overview

The Penn State Nittany Lions' offense is currently ranked 48th in passing yards with a total of 1,774 yards. Despite their ranking, they've struggled with their rushing attack, sitting at 105th with only 916 yards this season.

In terms of scoring, Penn State has amassed 201 points, positioning them 54th in the nation. The team has managed to gain 145 first downs, making them a competent 39th in this category.

Defensive Analysis

Penn State's defense is ranked 64th in points against, having allowed 132 points throughout the season. A standout area for the defense has been their pass rush, racking up nine sacks which places them 20th nationally.

Furthermore, their secondary has been effective, achieving seven interceptions, ranking them as the 8th best team in this category. The Nittany Lions have also recovered four fumbles, highlighting their ability to create turnovers.

Key Players to Watch

Quarterback Rocco Becht has been a central figure in the offense, completing 210 passing attempts for 1,664 yards and 12 touchdowns. He faces the challenge of reducing interceptions, having thrown five so far this season.

Running back Carson Hansen leads the ground game with 278 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Chase Sowell is a key target, securing 34 receptions for 510 yards and three touchdowns.

Injury Concerns

The Nittany Lions are dealing with several injuries, including wide receiver Koby Howard, who is out with an undisclosed issue. Defensive end Max Granville will also miss the remainder of the season.

Other players like Cristiano Rosa and Mason Robinson are listed as questionable, creating potential gaps in the team's lineup. These injuries could influence the team's performance in their upcoming home game.

Team Betting Trends

• SU - As Favorite: 25-5 in the last 30 games (83.3%)
• SU - Home Games: 22-8 in the last 30 games (73.3%)
• O/U - Totals ≥ 50: 12-4-1 in the last 17 games (70.6%)
• ATS - Home Games: 4-2 in the last 6 games (66.7%)
• ATS - Totals ≤ 42: 3-0 in the last 3 games (100.0%)

Purdue Boilermakers Prepare to Challenge Penn State Nittany Lions

Quarterback Analysis

Ryan Browne leads Purdue's offense as the starting quarterback, boasting 1,822 passing yards and 10 touchdowns through 7 games. He is ranked 23rd in passing yards, showcasing consistency in the Boilermakers' aerial attack. Despite his success, he has thrown 3 interceptions, which could be a point of concern against Penn State's defensive unit.

Evans Chuba serves as a backup option, having contributed 96 passing yards in his appearances. Although Chuba has seen limited action, he remains a viable alternative if needed. His single touchdown pass adds depth to Purdue's passing arsenal.

Rushing Attack

The Boilermakers' ground game is spearheaded by Fame Ijeboi, who has amassed 568 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns over 7 games. Ijeboi's performance places him among the top 45 rushers in the nation, providing Purdue with a reliable rushing option.

Supporting Ijeboi is Antonio Harris, who has rushed for 156 yards and 2 touchdowns. His presence as a secondary rusher adds versatility to the Boilermakers' offense. Jerrick Gibson and Travis Terrell Jr. round out the rushing corps, offering additional depth.

Receiving Corps

Asaad Waseem stands out as Purdue's leading receiver, securing 38 receptions for 588 yards and a touchdown. His efforts rank him 30th nationally in receiving yards, making him a primary target for Browne.

Complementing Waseem are Xavier Townsend and Chauncey Magwood, who have combined for 50 receptions and 591 yards. Townsend, in particular, has found the end zone twice, emphasizing his scoring capability.

Team Betting Trends

• O/U - Home Games: Last 6 Games (2025–2026) → 6-0 (100.0%)
• O/U - All Games: Last 9 Games (2025–2026) → 8-1 (88.9%)
• O/U - Totals ≥ 50: Last 8 Games (2025–2026) → 7-1 (87.5%)
• O/U - After Win: Last 3 Games (2026) → 3-0 (100.0%)
• O/U - As Underdog: Last 7 Games (2025–2026) → 6-1 (85.7%)
• O/U - After Loss: Last 6 Games (2025–2026) → 5-1 (83.3%)
• SU - As Favorite: Last 22 Games (2021–2026) → 15-7 (68.2%)

Purdue's record against the spread and totals indicates a team that frequently surpasses expectations. As they enter their upcoming game against Penn State, their ability to hit the over in games with totals ≥ 50 is notable.

Penn State vs Purdue Week 9 Prediction: Purdue +8.5

Purdue heads to Beaver Stadium with a 3-4 record, while Penn State matches that mark. Despite both teams having identical records, Purdue has shown a bit more resilience on the road with a 1-1 away record. Given Purdue's ability to stay competitive in most games, taking them at +8.5 seems a reasonable play.

Penn State has struggled within the conference, currently sitting at 0-4, indicating issues facing their Big Ten rivals. Purdue, on the other hand, holds a 2-2 conference record, proving they can contend within the Big Ten. This disparity in conference success suggests Purdue could cover the spread.

The Boilermakers have been competitive offensively, ranked 25th in passing yards. This strength could exploit Penn State's defense, providing Purdue an edge in keeping the game within a tight margin. Additionally, Purdue's defensive stats, such as their ranking in interceptions, may disrupt Penn State’s offensive efforts.

Given both teams' performances and Purdue's proficiency in passing, a close game is anticipated. Expect Purdue to cover the +8.5 spread, with a projected final score favoring Penn State narrowly at 28-24.

• Penn State vs Purdue Prediction: Purdue +8.5
• Penn State vs Purdue Score: Penn State 28 - Purdue 24

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