Nevada vs San Jose State Prediction & Betting Tips for Week 8 on 10/24/2026

The San Jose State Spartans will travel to Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack in a Mountain West conference game. The Spartans have shown strength on the road with a 3-1 record away from home this season. Meanwhile, Nevada will look to improve their home performance, currently standing at 1-2 in Reno.

San Jose State enters the game with a 4-3 overall record and a 2-1 mark in conference play, recently securing a 24-11 win against UTEP. Their ability to control games on the ground was evident with 233 rushing yards against the Miners. Nevada, at 2-4 overall and 1-2 in the conference, seeks to bounce back from a 31-17 defeat by North Dakota State.

According to the consensus odds, Nevada is favored with a moneyline of -213 and a spread of -5.5. The over/under is set at 46 points, indicating a competitive game expected between these two conference rivals. As both teams aim to bolster their standings in the Mountain West, this matchup could be pivotal for their midseason momentum.

Nevada vs San Jose State At a Glance (Week 8)

• Game Location: Mackay Stadium in Reno, NV
• Game Time: Saturday, October 24, 2026, at 5:00 PM
• TV Channel: MW+
• San Jose State Record: 4-3 overall, 3-1 on the road
• Nevada Record: 2-4 overall, 1-2 at home
• Game Odds: Nevada favored with a spread of -5.5

Wolf Pack Ready to Roar at Mackay Stadium Against San Jose State

Offensive Overview

The Nevada Wolf Pack's offense has been a mixed bag this season, ranking 69th in points scored with a total of 156. The passing game has struggled, sitting at 124th with just 1,031 yards, while the rushing attack has been a strength, ranking 46th with 1,164 yards.

Dominic Kelley leads the rushing charge with 500 yards and four touchdowns, supported by Herschel Turner Jr. who has also contributed four rushing touchdowns. Quarterback Carter Jones, although questionable with an injury, has been the key passer with 654 yards and three touchdowns over five games.

Defensive Highlights

Nevada's defense ranks 79th in points against with 141 allowed, showcasing a significant improvement from last season's 118th ranking. The defensive line has been effective, racking up 14 sacks, placing them 11th in the nation. The secondary has also impressed with two interceptions, ranking 2nd, indicating a knack for capitalizing on opponents' mistakes.

The team has been strong at recovering fumbles as well, with two recoveries ranking them 9th. Defensive backs Bishop Turner and Zavien Abercrombie are listed as questionable, which could impact the defensive cohesion if they miss the upcoming game.

Recent Performances

Nevada's recent form has been inconsistent, with a 1-4 record in their last five games. The highlight was a convincing 30-13 victory over UTEP Miners, marked by a dominant rushing performance with 279 yards. However, turnovers have plagued their recent losses, such as the 31-17 defeat to North Dakota State, where they threw two interceptions.

The Wolf Pack showed offensive potential in their narrow 36-33 loss to Air Force, with a balanced attack that included 224 passing yards and 187 rushing yards. Despite the losses, the team has demonstrated resilience and the ability to put up points.

Key Players to Watch

Running back Dominic Kelley is a critical piece of the Nevada offense, not only for his rushing prowess but also as a receiving option with 12 receptions for 102 yards. Wide receiver Damien Morgan has been a consistent target, leading the team with 27 receptions.

The tight end position faces a challenge with DJ Asiasi out for the season, placing more responsibility on Trace Estes to step up. Kicker Joe McFadden has been reliable, converting 10 field goals and 16 extra points, playing a crucial role in close games.

Upcoming Matchup Insights

Nevada is set to host the San Jose State Spartans at Mackay Stadium, and they enter the game as 5.5-point favorites. With a total set at 45.5, this matchup could hinge on Nevada's ability to exploit their rushing advantage and shore up their passing defense against the Spartans.

Given the Wolf Pack's performance trends, the game could be a pivotal moment for their season. A win would not only improve their standing but also bolster confidence heading into the latter part of the season.

Betting Trends

• O/U - As Underdog: 6-2 in the last 8 games (75.0%)
• O/U - Home Games: 4-1 in the last 5 games (80.0%)
• ATS - After Loss: 4-1 in the last 5 games (80.0%)
• SU - As Favorite: 15-10 in the last 25 games (60.0%)
• O/U - After Loss: 15-13 in the last 28 games (53.6%)

San Jose State Spartans: A Closer Look at the Spartans' Road Challenge

Quarterback Dynamics

Luke Weaver stands as the key figure under center for the San Jose State Spartans, having started all seven games this season. Weaver's performance has been pivotal with 1,529 passing yards, ranking him 38th nationally, showcasing a strong passing game capability. His 11 touchdown passes, however, come alongside six interceptions, indicating room for improvement in decision-making.

Daniel Rolovich has seen limited action, featuring in just one game with 193 passing yards and a touchdown. Though his appearances have been brief, Rolovich's efficiency when called upon offers depth to the Spartans' quarterback roster.

Rushing and Receiving Corps

Jabari Bates leads the ground attack with 556 rushing yards over six games, though he has been limited to just one touchdown. Bates' questionable status due to injury could impact the Spartans' rushing effectiveness.

Carson Clark has emerged as a primary target in the receiving game with 509 yards and five touchdowns across seven games. His consistency provides a reliable option for Weaver, complemented by Cooper Hoch and Jerry McClure, who add depth despite Hoch's injury concerns.

Defensive Strengths

Defensively, the Spartans have been impressive with 27 sacks, placing them second nationally in this category. Their ability to pressure the quarterback will be crucial against any offensive opponent.

With seven interceptions to their name, San Jose State's secondary has also proven effective at creating turnovers. This defensive acumen will be essential in curbing the opposition's passing game.

Betting Trends

• ATS - Away Games: 4-0 in 2026
• SU - Away Games: 3-0 in 2026
• ATS - After Loss: 4-0 in 2026
• SU - After Loss: 3-0 in 2026
• SU - Totals ≥ 50: 3-0 in 2026

Injury Concerns

The Spartans face potential setbacks with key players like Weaver, Bates, and Hoch all listed as questionable. Their availability could significantly influence San Jose State's performance.

In particular, the absence of Bates in the running game and Weaver's leadership at quarterback would require adjustments. The coaching staff may need to rely more heavily on backups and adapt their strategy accordingly.

Upcoming Challenges

San Jose State's upcoming schedule features tough away games, including a matchup against Nevada at Mackay Stadium. Their performance on the road has been solid, and maintaining this trend will be crucial.

With the Spartans as 5.5-point underdogs, their ability to leverage both offensive and defensive strengths will be pivotal in overcoming the odds. Their recent win against UTEP provides momentum they hope to carry into this challenging contest.

Nevada vs San Jose State Week 8 Prediction: Over 46.0

The Nevada Wolf Pack and San Jose State Spartans have both been part of high-scoring games in their recent history. Nevada has a trend of hitting the over in 80% of their last five home games, while San Jose State's road record reflects a strong offensive performance with a 3-1 record this season. This indicates a potential for both teams to generate significant points.

Historically, the matchups between these two teams have also seen high totals. The last three meetings have resulted in the total going over, with scores such as 31-35 and 28-35. This suggests a pattern that could continue in their upcoming game, given the offensive capabilities shown by both teams this season.

Both teams rank outside the top 60 in defense, which may lead to opportunities for each offense to capitalize and put points on the board. With Nevada's offensive success at home and San Jose State's effectiveness on the road, the conditions seem favorable for a high-scoring game.

Taking into account these factors, along with the set total of 46.0, the prediction leans towards the game going over. A projected final score of Nevada 30 - San Jose State 28 supports the over pick in this matchup.

• Nevada vs San Jose State Prediction: Over 46.0
• Nevada vs San Jose State Score: Nevada 30 - San Jose State 28

Disclaimer: Knup Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only. Must be 21+ where applicable. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.