Navy vs Tulsa Prediction & Betting Tips for Week 6 on 10/10/2026

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane heads into Week 6 with a 3-2 record, showing strength in their road performance. Despite a narrow loss to North Texas in their last game, they maintain a balanced attack with noteworthy passing and rushing yards. As they prepare to play at the Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Tulsa aims to enhance their standing within the American Conference.

Navy Midshipmen, with a 1-3 record, seek to regain their footing as they return home, where they've enjoyed previous success this season. They have faced tough competition on the road, as demonstrated in recent losses against Air Force and UAB. The Midshipmen hope to leverage their strong rushing game, which has been a significant component of their offensive strategy.

The upcoming game is set to broadcast on CBSS, with Navy slightly favored by the odds. Playing on their home turf, Navy's defense will be crucial in containing Tulsa's offensive threats. Meanwhile, Tulsa will look to capitalize on any opportunities presented by Navy's recent defensive vulnerabilities.

Navy vs Tulsa At a Glance (Week 6)

• Game Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD — Outdoor Field
• Game Date & Time: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 3:30 PM
• TV Broadcast: CBSS
• Tulsa Record: 3-2 overall, 1-1 on the road
• Navy Record: 1-3 overall, 1-0 at home
• Game Odds: Navy -130, Tulsa +108; Spread: Navy -2.5, Tulsa +2.5

Navy Midshipmen Set Sail for Victory

Offensive Analysis

The Navy Midshipmen have shown a preference for ground attacks this season, ranking 17th nationally in rushing yards with 1,107 yards. This run-heavy approach underscores their offensive strategy, which is clearly less reliant on the passing game, currently ranked at 127th with 415 passing yards.

Despite their efforts on the ground, the Midshipmen have struggled to convert these yards into points, managing only 101 points and placing 67th in the nation. Improving their scoring efficiency will be key in securing more victories.

Defensive Performance

Navy's defense has been a bright spot, particularly in creating turnovers with 3 interceptions, placing them 4th in the nation. Their ability to pressure the quarterback is also noteworthy, with 10 sacks this season ranking them 12th nationally.

While the defense has allowed 91 points, positioning them 55th overall, their capability to disrupt the opposing offense could be crucial in their upcoming games. Improving defensive consistency will be pivotal in reducing the points against them.

Key Players to Watch

Jackson Gutierrez, the starting quarterback, has been leading the offense with 344 passing yards and 3 touchdowns. His performance remains central to Navy's offensive prospects.

On the rushing front, Vic Listorti has been a standout with 175 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. His contributions, alongside Michael Barrow's 173 rushing yards, form the backbone of Navy's ground game.

Betting Trends

• SU - Home Games: 7-0 (100.0%)
• SU - As Favorite: 15-3 (83.3%)
• O/U - After Win: 16-4 (80.0%)
• O/U - Home Games: 11-2 (84.6%)
• SU - After Win: 15-4 (78.9%)

Recent Game Recap

Navy's most recent game ended in a narrow 14-9 defeat against Air Force. Despite gaining more passing yards, the Midshipmen couldn't capitalize on their opportunities to secure a win.

Improving efficiency in key moments will be necessary as they prepare for their next home game against Tulsa. With a home win streak at stake, Navy aims to leverage their strong home performance to turn their season around.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Prepares for Navy Showdown

Quarterback Dynamics

Baylor Hayes, the starting quarterback for Tulsa, has been pivotal for the team with 564 passing yards in four games. He has contributed four touchdowns, maintaining a steady hand with only one interception. Dexter Williams II supports the offensive efforts with 340 passing yards and three touchdowns, bringing depth to the quarterback position.

Rushing Attack

Damari Alston leads the Tulsa rushing unit with 292 yards and five touchdowns over five games. Trequan Jones complements the backfield, adding 221 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Together, they form a formidable running duo that challenges defenses with their speed and agility.

Receiving Corps

Oran Singleton Jr. stands out in the receiving lineup, recording 306 yards and two touchdowns. Javon Ross and David Wells Jr. have also been reliable targets, contributing crucial yards and touchdowns. This diversified receiving group provides ample options for the Tulsa quarterbacks.

Defensive Prowess

Tulsa's defense has been aggressive, ranking 8th nationally with 14 sacks. The team's ability to create turnovers is highlighted by six interceptions, ranking them 7th in this category. This defensive tenacity will be essential against Navy's offensive schemes.

Special Teams Impact

Owen Carey, the primary kicker, has been consistent with two field goals and 14 extra points. His reliability adds a critical component to Tulsa's scoring opportunities. Marlon Hauck also contributes depth with his performance in the kicking game.

Recent Performance

Tulsa's recent games showcase a mixed record, including a narrow 45-44 loss to North Texas. They have demonstrated resilience with notable wins over Oklahoma State and Sam Houston. These games reflect the team's ability to compete against various opponents.

Betting Trends

• ATS - After Loss: 3-0 (100.0%) in last 3 games
• SU - As Favorite: 20-10 (66.7%) in last 30 games
• ATS - As Underdog: 5-2 (71.4%) in last 7 games
• O/U - As Underdog: 11-7 (61.1%) in last 18 games

Navy vs Tulsa Week 6 Prediction: Over 48.5

In this Week 6 matchup, Navy's offense has shown a strong ground game, ranking 17th in rushing yards. This capability bodes well for a higher-scoring affair, especially against Tulsa's defense, which has allowed 106 points this season. Navy’s home record of 1-0 indicates they perform well on their own turf, likely boosting their offensive output.

Tulsa enters the game with a dynamic offense, scoring 139 points over five games, with a balanced attack ranking 50th in rushing and 93rd in passing. Their recent high-scoring game against North Texas, ending 45-44, suggests they can keep pace with Navy in a potentially high-scoring contest. Tulsa's ability to score, coupled with Navy's defensive challenges, suggests the game could surpass the current total.

Historically, when these teams meet, they often exceed the set total. For instance, their 2025 meeting ended with a total of 65 points, well above the current line of 48.5. Additionally, Navy’s trend of hitting the over in 84.6% of their last 13 home games supports an expectation of surpassing the total again.

Both teams have shown scoring capabilities, and with Tulsa being underdogs, they will be motivated to exploit any weaknesses in Navy's defense. Expect this game to be competitive and high-scoring. My pick is the over, with a projected final score of Navy 31 - Tulsa 27.

• Navy vs Tulsa Prediction: Over 48.5
• Navy vs Tulsa Score: Navy 31 - Tulsa 27

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