Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State At a Glance (Week 9)
- Game Timing: Week 9 matchup on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, at 7:00 PM.
- Venue Details: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, TN, with an outdoor field.
- Broadcast Information: The game will be televised on CBSS.
- Kennesaw State Owls Record: The Owls currently hold a 1-6 season record.
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Record: The Blue Raiders have a 4-3 season record.
- Game Odds: Middle Tennessee is favored with a moneyline of -157 and a spread of -3 (-110).
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Aim for Victory at Home
Offensive Overview
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders' offense has been solid this season, scoring a total of 163 points, ranking them 79th nationally. However, their passing game has struggled, with only 1,404 passing yards, placing them 105th in the rankings. The rushing attack has fared slightly better, amassing 982 yards and ranking 95th.
Leading the offensive charge is quarterback Roman Gagliano, who has played in seven games this season. He has thrown for 1,404 yards and 12 touchdowns while maintaining a low interception count with just two on the season. Gagliano's performance will be pivotal in the upcoming game as the Blue Raiders look to improve their passing efficiency.
Defensive Insights
The Blue Raiders have allowed 193 points against them, placing them at 106th in the rankings for points allowed. Despite this, their defense has been effective in creating turnovers, with five interceptions and four fumble recoveries, which are ranked 6th and 8th, respectively.
Their pass rush has been a bright spot, tallying seven sacks, which is the 22nd best nationally. Defensive coordination will be crucial in maintaining pressure on the opposition's quarterback and limiting big plays in their upcoming game.
Key Players to Watch
In addition to Gagliano, running back Antonio Martin Jr. has been a standout performer, rushing for 480 yards and one touchdown over seven games. His ability to move the chains will be essential to Middle Tennessee's offensive success.
On the receiving end, Cam'ron Lacy has been Gagliano's primary target, with 41 receptions for 437 yards and four touchdowns. His contributions will be critical in stretching the field and providing scoring opportunities.
Recent Performance
Middle Tennessee's recent games have seen mixed results, with a 3-2 record over their last five contests. They secured a narrow victory against Florida International with a 26-23 win, showcasing their ability to perform in close encounters.
Conversely, their 55-0 defeat against Kansas highlighted some vulnerabilities that the Blue Raiders will need to address. Consistency and resilience will be key factors in their upcoming matchups.
Team Betting Trends
- SU - Home Games: 4-0 in their last 4 home games (100.0%)
- ATS - Home Games: 4-0 in their last 4 home games (100.0%)
- O/U - All Games: 3-0 in their last 3 games (100.0%)
- O/U - As Underdog: 3-0 in their last 3 games (100.0%)
- ATS - All Games: 7-2 in their last 9 games (77.8%)
With these trends and player performances in mind, Middle Tennessee looks poised to put on a strong display at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium. Their home advantage and recent form could play pivotal roles in securing another victory.
Can the Kennesaw State Owls Turn Their Season Around Against Middle Tennessee?
Current Form and Recent Struggles
The Kennesaw State Owls are coming off a challenging stretch, having lost their last five games. Their most recent defeat was a 34-6 loss to Liberty, highlighting ongoing issues on both sides of the ball. This upcoming game against Middle Tennessee will test their resilience and ability to rebound from these setbacks.
The Owls have struggled defensively this season, ranking 95th in points against. Despite this, they have shown flashes of defensive prowess with six sacks and three interceptions, ranked 23rd and 4th respectively.
Offensive Challenges and Key Players
Offensively, the Owls have faced difficulties, particularly in their rushing game, which ranks 103rd with only 924 yards. Quarterback Rickie Collins has been a bright spot, with 1,411 passing yards over seven games, but has thrown five interceptions.
Boogie Woods III leads the rushing attack, accumulating 291 yards and four touchdowns. While not leading in rushing yards, Woods's ability to find the end zone has been crucial for the Owls.
Impact Players in the Passing Game
In the receiving corps, Javon Rogers and Dylan Gary have been the primary targets for Collins. Rogers has tallied 350 receiving yards, while Gary has contributed 262 yards and two touchdowns.
These two receivers will need to step up against Middle Tennessee to provide the offensive spark Kennesaw State desperately needs to secure their first win of the season.
Defensive Standouts and Areas for Improvement
On defense, the Owls have been impressive in forcing turnovers, with five fumbles recovered, ranking 7th nationally. However, they will need to improve their overall defensive performance to contain a Middle Tennessee offense looking to capitalize on Kennesaw's weaknesses.
Linebacker Donovan Westmoreland's questionable status due to injury could impact the Owls' defensive capabilities. His availability will be a key factor in their ability to manage Middle Tennessee's offensive threats.
Team Betting Trends
- ATS - As Underdog: Last 6 Games (2025–2026) → 5-1 (83.3%)
- ATS - Away Games: Last 5 Games (2025–2026) → 4-1 (80.0%)
- SU - After Win: Last 11 Games (2025–2026) → 9-2 (81.8%)
- SU - As Favorite: Last 12 Games (2025–2026) → 9-3 (75.0%)
- ATS - Home Games: Last 13 Games (2024–2026) → 9-4 (69.2%)
Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State Week 9 Prediction: Under 50.5
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have displayed a strong defensive presence at home, achieving a perfect 3-0 record. Their defensive success is evident in their recent 26-23 win against Florida International, a game that remained competitive without turning into a high-scoring affair.
On the other side, Kennesaw State Owls have struggled offensively this season, scoring only 140 points and ranking 91st in points for. In their recent 6-34 loss to Liberty, it became apparent that offensive production is an area of concern, which could lead to a lower-scoring game against Middle Tennessee.
The Blue Raiders' recent performance indicates a tendency for their games to go over, but the Owls' limited offensive capability and the Blue Raiders' ability to control the pace at home suggest that this matchup will not exceed the projected total. Historical head-to-head matchups also show a pattern of unders, as seen in their previous games with scores of 16-24 and 5-14.
Taking into account the defensive capabilities of Middle Tennessee and the offensive struggles of Kennesaw State, this game is likely to result in a lower point total. Therefore, the pick is Under 50.5.
- Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State Prediction: Under 50.5
- Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State Score: Middle Tennessee 28 - Kennesaw State 14
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