Michigan State vs Washington Prediction & Betting Tips for Week 11 on 11/14/2026

The Washington Huskies will travel to Spartan Stadium in East Lansing for a Week 11 matchup against the Michigan State Spartans. Washington enters the game with a 5-4 record and a 2-1 record on the road. Having faced mixed results in recent outings, they are eager to capitalize on their road success.

On the other side, Michigan State looks to improve their 3-6 season record, with a 2-3 record at home. The Spartans recently ended a losing streak with a significant victory over Michigan, a result they'll hope to build on in this conference matchup. With both teams representing the Big Ten, this game carries added significance in the conference standings.

The betting odds slightly favor Washington with a moneyline of -170 and a spread of -3.5. Meanwhile, Michigan State is underdog at +141 on the moneyline and +3.5 on the spread. With the total set at 43.5, both teams will aim to outperform expectations in this intriguing matchup.

Michigan State vs Washington At a Glance (Week 11)

• Game Location: Spartan Stadium (MI) in East Lansing, MI
• Game Time: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM
• TV Broadcast: BTN
• Washington Huskies' Record: 5-4 overall, 2-1 on the road
• Michigan State Spartans' Record: 3-6 overall, 2-3 at home
• Consensus Odds: Washington -3.5 (-108), Michigan State +3.5 (-112)

Michigan State Spartans: A Deep Dive into the Upcoming Game

Offensive Overview

Michigan State's offense has experienced some struggles this season, with their total points for ranking 92nd in the nation. The Spartans have generated 1,638 passing yards and 1,004 rushing yards, which places them at 114th and 123rd respectively. This indicates a need for improvement in both passing and rushing efficiencies.

Alessio Milivojevic has been the primary quarterback for Michigan State, throwing for 1,451 yards and seven touchdowns. His performance has been crucial for the Spartans, although the team needs to capitalize more on his efforts by converting yardage into points.

Defensive Dynamics

Defensively, the Spartans have shown strength in turnovers, ranking 5th in interceptions and 7th in fumbles recovered. However, they have allowed 212 points, ranking 93rd nationally, indicating vulnerabilities in stopping opponents from scoring.

The Spartans have managed 17 sacks this season, placing them 20th in the nation. This pressure on opposing quarterbacks has been a highlight of their defensive strategy and will be vital in their upcoming games.

Recent Game Performance

Michigan State is coming off a morale-boosting win against Michigan, with a 15-6 victory. They demonstrated strong defensive capabilities in that game, holding Michigan to only 55 rushing yards and forcing two interceptions.

Despite the recent win, the Spartans have faced tough losses in previous games against teams like UCLA and Northwestern, where defensive lapses and offensive inefficiencies were evident. Improving these areas will be critical as they face the Washington Huskies.

Key Players to Watch

Running back Jaziun Patterson has been a significant contributor with 327 rushing yards and five touchdowns, though his current injury status is questionable. Wide receiver Chrishon McCray leads with 381 receiving yards, providing a reliable target for Milivojevic.

On special teams, kicker Liam Boyd has been dependable, making 16 field goals. His consistency will be essential in tight games where every point matters.

Team Betting Trends

• SU - As Favorite: Last 24 Games (2021–2026) → 20-4 (83.3%)
• ATS - Away Games: Last 15 Games (2023–2026) → 11-4 (73.3%)
• ATS - As Underdog: Last 14 Games (2025–2026) → 10-4 (71.4%)
• ATS - All Games: Last 18 Games (2025–2026) → 12-6 (66.7%)
• O/U - After Win: Last 8 Games (2024–2026) → 6-2 (75.0%)

Washington Huskies Set to Challenge on the Road

Quarterback Insights

The Spartans' starting quarterback is Katin Houser, who has been showing steady progress this season. His ability to manage the game and make crucial plays has been evident in recent performances.

Houser has demonstrated a strong connection with his receivers, which will be crucial against the Huskies' defensive unit. His pocket presence and decision-making under pressure will be tested in this upcoming game.

Running Game Analysis

The Spartans' ground game is led by Nathan Carter, who has been consistent in gaining yards and moving the chains. His speed and agility make him a threat in open space, and he will look to exploit any gaps in the Huskies' defense.

Carter's ability to contribute both as a runner and a receiver out of the backfield adds an extra dimension to the Spartans' offense. Expect him to be a focal point in their offensive strategy.

Wide Receiver Corps

Tre Mosley and Montorie Foster Jr. lead the Spartans' receiving corps, providing reliable targets for Houser. Their route-running and ability to create separation make them vital assets in the passing game.

Mosley, in particular, has shown a knack for making clutch catches in critical situations. The chemistry between these receivers and Houser will be key to unlocking the Huskies' secondary.

Defensive Standpoints

On defense, the Spartans are anchored by the play of linebacker Cal Haladay, whose leadership and tackling ability are vital to their defensive success. His ability to read plays and make adjustments on the fly is crucial.

Defensive end Jeff Pietrowski brings pressure off the edge, aiming to disrupt the Huskies' passing game. Their defensive front will need to contain the Huskies' rushing attack to keep the game within reach.

Betting Trends for the Spartans

• SU - Home Games: Last 10 Games → 7-3 (70.0%)
• ATS - As Underdog: Last 5 Games → 3-2 (60.0%)
• O/U - Totals ≤ 50: Last 7 Games → 5-2 (71.4%)
• SU - After Win: Last 8 Games → 5-3 (62.5%)
• ATS - After Loss: Last 6 Games → 4-2 (66.7%)

Michigan State vs Washington Week 11 Prediction: Washington -3.5

The Washington Huskies are entering this game as the favorites with a -3.5 spread. Despite a recent narrow loss to Penn State, their overall record and past performance against Michigan State favor them in this matchup. With a better road record of 2-1 compared to Michigan State's 2-3 home record, Washington appears primed to cover the spread.

Michigan State, though coming off a win against Michigan, has struggled this season with a 3-6 record. They face a Washington team that has consistently performed well when playing away, as evidenced by their 4-0 ATS record in recent road games. Additionally, Washington's defense has shown the ability to create turnovers, ranking 13th in interceptions, which could pose problems for Michigan State's offense.

Washington's offense, particularly their passing game, ranks 28th in the nation, offering them a clear edge over Michigan State's 114th-ranked passing defense. This offensive advantage, combined with Michigan State's inconsistency, supports the prediction that Washington will not only win but cover the spread.

Given these factors, the prediction leans towards Washington prevailing in this contest. Expect a final score where Washington emerges with a 27-20 victory over Michigan State, comfortably covering the -3.5 spread.

• Michigan State vs Washington Prediction: Washington -3.5
• Michigan State vs Washington Score: Washington 27 - Michigan State 20

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