The Oklahoma State Cowboys head into Week 10 with a solid 5-3 record, looking to improve on their 1-3 road performance. Their recent narrow loss to the Iowa State Cyclones, 51-49, highlighted their offensive capabilities, particularly in the passing game where they racked up 323 yards. As they prepare to take on the Kansas State Wildcats, the Cowboys will aim to leverage their offensive strengths to secure another win.
Playing at home in Bill Snyder Family Stadium, the Kansas State Wildcats hold a 4-1 home record this season. Despite their overall 4-4 standing, the Wildcats have shown resilience on their home turf, most notably with a 35-24 victory over the Kansas Jayhawks in Week 7. With a conference record of 1-4, Kansas State will look to turn their season around with a strong performance against a conference rival.
With both teams competing in the Big 12 Conference, this game is crucial for standings and morale. The Cowboys are slightly favored with a -183 moneyline and a -4.5 point spread, but the Wildcats are known for their competitiveness at home. Broadcasting live on TNT, this afternoon game promises to deliver exciting college football action.
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State At a Glance (Week 10)
- Game Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 1:00 PM
- Location: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
- TV Coverage: Tune in to TNT
- Oklahoma State Record: 5-3 overall, 1-3 on the road
- Kansas State Record: 4-4 overall, 4-1 at home
- Game Odds: Oklahoma State -4.5, Kansas State +4.5, Total Points 62.5
Kansas State Wildcats Poised for Home Showdown
Offensive Overview
The Kansas State Wildcats' offense has shown a balanced approach this season, accumulating 1,769 passing yards, ranking them 75th nationally. They are particularly strong on the ground with 1,666 rushing yards, placing them 20th in the nation. Their ability to earn first downs is notable, securing 184 so far, making them 21st in this category.
Leading the charge on offense is quarterback Avery Johnson, who has thrown for 1,301 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. However, his availability is uncertain due to an undisclosed injury, which could impact the Wildcats' offensive dynamics. The team will rely heavily on their rushing attack led by Rodney Fields Jr., who has accumulated 487 rushing yards.
Defensive Standpoint
Kansas State's defense has experienced some challenges, allowing 175 points, which ranks them 83rd nationally. Despite this, their pass rush has been effective, with 19 sacks placing them 12th in the nation. Their ability to recover fumbles is also impressive, ranking 9th with three recoveries.
The Wildcats have excelled in intercepting passes, achieving a rank of 2nd nationally with one interception. This aspect of their defense could prove crucial in their upcoming game. The team needs to focus on tightening their run defense, which has been a vulnerability in past games.
Recent Performance
The Wildcats have faced a tough stretch recently, with a 1-4 record in their last five games. Their only win came against the Kansas Jayhawks with a score of 35-24. In their most recent game, they narrowly lost to Colorado 27-24, showcasing their competitive edge despite the loss.
This season has been a test of endurance and adaptability for Kansas State, with close games and hard-fought battles. Improving their consistency on both sides of the ball will be key to turning their season around.
Player Highlights
In the receiving corps, Jaron Tibbs has been a standout with 39 receptions for 379 yards and four touchdowns. His performance will be crucial, especially if Avery Johnson is unable to play. On the ground, Joe Jackson complements Rodney Fields Jr. with 384 rushing yards and two touchdowns, adding depth to their rushing attack.
Special teams have been reliable for the Wildcats, with kicker Luis Rodriguez making 12 field goals. His contributions could be vital in close games, providing the needed edge in scoring.
Injury Concerns
Quarterback Avery Johnson's status is questionable due to an undisclosed injury, which could be a significant factor for the Wildcats' offense. Backup quarterback Jacob Knuth is also dealing with an injury, leaving the team in a precarious situation at the quarterback position. Offensive lineman John Pastore is out for the season, impacting the team's depth on the line.
Kansas State Top Betting Trends
- O/U - As Underdog: 17-3 (85.0%) in the last 20 games
- SU - Home Games: 20-5 (80.0%) in the last 25 games
- SU - After Loss: 16-5 (76.2%) in the last 21 games
- SU - As Favorite: 20-10 (66.7%) in the last 30 games
- O/U - After Win: 7-2 (77.8%) in the last 9 games
Oklahoma State Cowboys Prepare for the Kansas State Wildcats Challenge
Team Overview
The Kansas State Wildcats will be hosting the Oklahoma State Cowboys this week. The Wildcats have shown consistency in their home games, making this an intriguing matchup. Oklahoma State, coming off a narrow 51-49 loss to Iowa State, will be eager to bounce back.
Oklahoma State's offense has been a powerhouse, ranking 5th in points scored this season. With a balanced attack, they have demonstrated their ability to both pass and run effectively, ranking 3rd in passing yards. Their defense, however, has struggled at times, allowing 217 points and ranking 108th in points against.
Key Players to Watch
Drew Mestemaker, the starting quarterback for the Cowboys, is a pivotal player in their offensive scheme. He has completed 281 passes for 2,649 yards, leading to 25 touchdowns. Mestemaker's performance will be crucial against Kansas State's defense.
On the ground, Caleb Hawkins is a key contributor with 906 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. His ability to gain yards after contact can pose a significant challenge to the Wildcats. In the receiving corps, Justin Bowick and Wyatt Young have been standout performers, combining for over 1,400 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns.
Offensive Strategies
Oklahoma State's offensive strategy often revolves around their passing game, where Mestemaker has excelled. With the Cowboys ranking 3rd in passing yards, they will likely focus on exploiting any weaknesses in the Wildcats' secondary. Utilizing Bowick and Young as primary targets could stretch the field and open up opportunities for big plays.
In the running game, Hawkins will be expected to shoulder a significant load. His versatility as both a runner and receiver out of the backfield adds an extra dimension to the Cowboys' offense. Establishing the run early could help set up play-action passes later in the game.
Defensive Outlook
Defensively, the Cowboys have room for improvement, particularly in their run defense. Allowing 272 rushing yards in their recent game against Iowa State highlights an area of concern. The Cowboys' defensive line will need to step up to limit Kansas State's ground attack.
Despite these challenges, Oklahoma State's defense has shown resilience in creating turnovers, ranking 9th in interceptions. Their ability to disrupt the passing game could prove vital against the Wildcats, potentially leading to critical game-changing plays.
Team Betting Trends
- ATS - As Underdog: 7-0 in last 7 games (2025–2026)
- O/U - All Games: 5-0 in last 5 games (2026)
- SU - Home Games: 4-0 in last 4 games (2026)
- O/U - After Win: 4-0 in last 4 games (2026)
- SU - As Favorite: 22-8 in last 30 games (2021–2026)
- ATS - All Games: 10-2 in last 12 games (2025–2026)
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Week 10 Prediction: Over 62.5
Both Oklahoma State and Kansas State have been consistent in their offensive production this season. Oklahoma State ranks 5th in total points scored with 329, while Kansas State has scored 254 points, ranking 39th.
Oklahoma State has demonstrated a strong passing game, ranking 3rd in passing yards, which should exploit Kansas State's defensive weaknesses. This offensive strength, combined with Kansas State's ability to perform well at home, indicates a potentially high-scoring game.
Historically, Kansas State games tend to hit the over, especially when they are underdogs, with a recent 85% success rate in such situations. Oklahoma State also has a 100% over rate in their recent games with totals over 50, further supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring affair.
Given these statistics, the expectation is for a high-scoring game. The prediction is a final score of Oklahoma State 35, Kansas State 31, leading to the selection of Over 62.5.
- Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Prediction: Over 62.5
- Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Score: Oklahoma State 35 - Kansas State 31
Disclaimer: Knup Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only. Must be 21+ where applicable. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Get more picks and sports insights in your inbox
Subscribe to the Knup newsletter for weekly CFB previews, sports business notes, and ecosystem updates.