Iowa vs Purdue Prediction & Betting Tips for Week 11 on 11/14/2026

• Week 11 of the 2026 Regular Season
• Away Team: Purdue Boilermakers
• Home Team: Iowa Hawkeyes
• Stadium: Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, IA — Outdoor Field
• Game Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM (Night Game)
• TV Channel: NBC

Iowa vs Purdue At a Glance (Week 11)

• Game Location: Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, IA
• Game Date and Time: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM
• Broadcast: NBC
• Odds: Iowa favored with a moneyline of -958
• Purdue Season Record: 3-6 overall, 1-2 on the road
• Iowa Ranking: Ranked #16 in AP Poll

Iowa Hawkeyes Prepare for Battle at Kinnick Stadium

Team Overview

The Iowa Hawkeyes are heading into this game with a solid 3-2 record in their last five games. A recent victory against Northwestern, where they secured a 24-10 win, has certainly boosted their morale.

While the team has shown its strength on the road, returning to Kinnick Stadium should provide an additional advantage. Currently ranked 52nd in points for, the Hawkeyes are eager to improve their offensive output.

Offensive Insights

Hank Brown, the starting quarterback, has been pivotal this season with 1,316 passing yards and nine touchdowns. Brown's performance is critical to Iowa's offensive success, and he'll need to maintain his form against Purdue.

The rushing attack, led by Braeden Jackson and Xavier Williams, will be a focal point, especially with Kamari Moulton sidelined due to injury. With 1574 rushing yards this season, ranked 47th, Iowa's ground game remains a strength.

Defensive Strength

Defensively, Iowa has been formidable, allowing only 110 points this season, ranking them 48th in points against. Their ability to pressure the quarterback is evident with 30 sacks, placing them 7th in the nation.

Their defense is further bolstered by ranking 7th in interceptions with six so far this season. Iowa's defensive unit will aim to disrupt Purdue's offensive rhythm throughout the game.

Key Players to Watch

On the receiving end, Tony Diaz leads the Hawkeyes with 504 receiving yards and three touchdowns. His ability to create plays will be crucial in breaking down the Purdue defense.

Kicker Caden Buhr is also a player to watch, having made 14 field goals this season. His reliability in crucial moments could play a significant role in the outcome of the game.

Betting Trends

• SU - As Favorite: Last 16 Games (2024–2026) → 15-1 (93.8%)
• SU - After Loss: Last 15 Games (2022–2026) → 14-1 (93.3%)
• SU - Totals ≤ 42: Last 28 Games (2023–2026) → 22-6 (78.6%)
• SU - Home Games: Last 30 Games (2022–2026) → 23-7 (76.7%)
• ATS - After Loss: Last 9 Games (2024–2026) → 8-1 (88.9%)
• ATS - Away Games: Last 8 Games (2025–2026) → 7-1 (87.5%)
• SU - All Games: Last 26 Games (2024–2026) → 19-7 (73.1%)
• ATS - All Games: Last 19 Games (2025–2026) → 14-5 (73.7%)
• ATS - Totals ≤ 42: Last 7 Games (2025–2026) → 6-1 (85.7%)
• SU - Away Games: Last 30 Games (2020–2026) → 20-10 (66.7%)

The Hawkeyes are favorites heading into this game against Purdue, with a 17.5-point spread. Their consistent performance at home and as favorites in recent seasons suggests a promising outlook for this matchup.

Purdue Boilermakers Aim to Turn the Tide in Upcoming Game

Quarterback Overview

Ryan Browne has been the leading force for Purdue at the quarterback position. With 288 passing attempts and 2260 passing yards, he ranks prominently in the national standings. Browne's 11 touchdown passes demonstrate his ability to find the end zone, although his 5 interceptions show there is room for improvement in ball security.

Evans Chuba has served as a backup, participating in 3 games with 14 passing attempts. His contribution of 96 passing yards and 1 touchdown offers a glimpse into his potential as a secondary option. Both quarterbacks will need to be efficient against a tough opponent to give Purdue a fighting chance.

Running Game Analysis

Fame Ijeboi has been the standout performer in the running game with 620 rushing yards over 9 games. His ability to find the end zone is evident with 10 rushing touchdowns, making him a critical component of Purdue's offensive strategy. Antonio Harris and Jerrick Gibson have also added depth to the running game, though with fewer yards and touchdowns compared to Ijeboi.

The running backs will face a challenging task against a strong defensive line, and their performance could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the game. Purdue's offense will need to leverage the rushing attack to balance their play-calling and keep the defense honest.

Receiving Corps

Asaad Waseem leads the receiving unit with 709 receiving yards and 43 receptions. Xavier Townsend complements Waseem well, providing another reliable target with 438 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. Tra'Mar Harris adds further depth with his ability to make plays downfield, contributing 226 yards and 2 touchdowns.

The receiving corps will need to be sharp, running precise routes and capitalizing on any defensive lapses. Their chemistry with the quarterbacks will be crucial in sustaining drives and converting scoring opportunities.

Betting Trends for Purdue

• O/U - Home Games: Last 7 Games (2025–2026) → 7-0 (100.0%)
• O/U - All Games: Last 11 Games (2025–2026) → 9-2 (81.8%)
• O/U - As Favorite: Last 3 Games (2026) → 3-0 (100.0%)
• O/U - After Win: Last 3 Games (2026) → 3-0 (100.0%)
• O/U - Totals ≥ 50: Last 13 Games (2025–2026) → 10-3 (76.9%)
• SU - As Favorite: Last 23 Games (2021–2026) → 15-8 (65.2%)
• O/U - As Underdog: Last 8 Games (2025–2026) → 6-2 (75.0%)
• O/U - After Loss: Last 8 Games (2025–2026) → 6-2 (75.0%)
• ATS - After Win: Last 4 Games (2025–2026) → 3-1 (75.0%)
• O/U - Away Games: Last 28 Games (2021–2026) → 15-13 (53.6%)

Iowa vs Purdue Week 11 Prediction: Iowa -17.5

Iowa enters this game as a 17.5-point favorite, and they have been performing well, particularly at home. With a strong conference record of 4-2 and an overall record of 7-2, they are ranked 16th and 15th in the AP and Coaches Polls, respectively. Given their history of performing well as favorites, the Hawkeyes look poised to cover the spread against Purdue.

Purdue, on the other hand, is struggling this season with a 3-6 record. Their road performance has been subpar, standing at 1-2. Their defense has allowed 291 points, ranking 138th, which could be exploited by Iowa's balanced offensive attack.

Iowa's offense, ranked 52nd for points scored, is likely to take advantage of Purdue's vulnerable defense. Meanwhile, their own defense, ranked 48th in points allowed, should be able to stifle Purdue's offense, which ranks 44th in points for. This contrast in defensive capabilities is a crucial factor in predicting a comfortable Iowa win.

Considering Iowa's home-field advantage at Kinnick Stadium, and their impressive statistics and rankings, they are well-positioned to cover the spread. We project a final score with Iowa taking a decisive win, reinforcing their high ranking and consistent performance as a favorite.

• Iowa vs Purdue Prediction: Iowa -17.5
• Iowa vs Purdue Score: Iowa 34 - Purdue 13

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