Indiana vs USC Prediction & Betting Tips for Week 11 on 11/14/2026

In Week 11 of the 2026 college football season, the USC Trojans are set to travel to Bloomington to take on the Indiana Hoosiers at Memorial Stadium. Ranked #15 in the AP Poll and #14 in the Coaches Poll, USC enters this game with a 7-2 record. Their road performance has been solid, holding a 2-1 record away from their home turf.

Indiana, coming into this game with an impressive 8-1 record, holds the #6 spot in the AP Poll and is ranked #5 in the Coaches Poll. The Hoosiers have showcased strong form at home, registering a 5-1 home record this season. This game is set to be televised on CBS at 3:30 PM.

The odds slightly favor Indiana, with the home team moneyline set at -287 and USC at +233. The spread for the game is Indiana -7.5, and the total points over/under is set at 49.5. Both teams will look to leverage their recent performances to maintain their rankings and strengthen their positions in the Big Ten conference.

Indiana vs USC At a Glance (Week 11)

• Game Location: Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) — Outdoor Field
• Game Date and Time: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM
• Broadcast Info: TV coverage on CBS
• USC Trojans Record: 7-2 overall, ranked #15 AP
• Indiana Hoosiers Record: 8-1 overall, ranked #6 AP
• Betting Odds: Indiana favored by 7.5 points with a total over/under of 49.5

Indiana Hoosiers: Analyzing the Home Game Outlook

Offensive Dynamics

The Indiana Hoosiers are showcasing a balanced offensive strategy this season. With a total of 292 points, they rank 33rd in the nation, demonstrating their ability to find the end zone consistently. Their passing game, led by quarterback Josh Hoover, has contributed 2,100 yards, placing them 63rd, while the rushing attack has accumulated 1,688 yards, securing the 34th spot.

Josh Hoover has been instrumental, completing 206 passing attempts for 1,860 yards and 19 touchdowns, while only throwing two interceptions. Turbo Richard has excelled on the ground with 745 rushing yards and six touchdowns, providing a dual threat alongside Lee Beebe Jr., who has added 715 rushing yards and four touchdowns.

Defensive Stance

Defensively, Indiana ranks 49th with 112 points allowed this season, indicating a solid performance from their defense. They have been effective in pressuring the quarterback, recording 32 sacks, which ranks them 5th nationally. Their secondary has also been productive, with 7 interceptions, placing them 8th.

Fumbles have been another area where the Hoosiers excel, recovering 2 so far, ranking them 10th. This defensive tenacity has been crucial in their recent victories, including their latest win over Minnesota, where they held the Golden Gophers to just 16 points.

Recent Performance and Trends

Indiana's recent form has been impressive, with a 4-1 record in their last five games. They secured wins against Michigan, Nebraska, and Rutgers, showcasing their ability to perform both at home and on the road. Their only recent setback came against Ohio State, a narrow 19-15 loss.

At home, Indiana has a strong record, winning their last game against Minnesota 23-16. Their home-field advantage at Memorial Stadium has been a significant factor in their success this season.

Key Players to Watch

In addition to Josh Hoover and Turbo Richard, wide receiver Charlie Becker has been a standout, with 50 receptions for 875 yards and nine touchdowns. Nick Marsh adds depth to their receiving corps with 38 receptions for 669 yards and eight touchdowns.

Kicker Nico Radicic has been reliable, making 11 field goals and 21 extra points, providing the Hoosiers with stability in the kicking game. With players like these, Indiana is poised to maintain their competitive edge.

Injury Concerns

Indiana faces some uncertainties on the injury front. Kellan Wyatt (DL) and Davion Chandler (WR) are both listed as questionable with undisclosed injuries. Their availability could impact the Hoosiers' performance, especially in maintaining their defensive strength and receiving depth.

Indiana Hoosiers Betting Trends

• SU - As Favorite: 30-0 (100.0%) in the last 30 games.
• SU - All Games: 28-2 (93.3%) in the last 30 games.
• SU - After Win: 28-2 (93.3%) in the last 30 games.
• SU - Home Games: 21-1 (95.5%) in the last 22 games.
• SU - Totals ≥ 50: 20-1 (95.2%) in the last 21 games.

USC Trojans Prepare for Battle Against Indiana Hoosiers

Quarterback Leadership

Jayden Maiava leads the Indiana Hoosiers as the starting quarterback, bringing his talents to the field with 296 passing attempts this season. With 2,525 passing yards and 20 touchdowns, Maiava is a vital player in the Hoosiers' offensive strategy. His leadership and ability to read the game will be crucial in challenging the USC defense.

Running Game Analysis

King Miller spearheads the rushing attack for the Hoosiers, amassing 681 yards and five touchdowns in nine games. Waymond Jordan complements the backfield with 335 yards and three touchdowns over eight appearances. These backs provide depth and versatility to Indiana's ground game.

Riley Wormley, though primarily a reserve, has contributed with 71 rushing yards and two touchdowns. His presence adds further options for Indiana's rushing strategy against USC's defensive front.

Receiving Corps

Trent Mosley stands out in the Hoosiers' receiving unit with 512 yards and six touchdowns in just six games. His performance ranks him among the top receivers, making him a key target for Maiava. Kayden Dixon-Wyatt adds another dimension with 443 receiving yards and four touchdowns, providing reliable hands and route-running abilities.

Tanook Hines and Zacharyus Williams offer additional receiving options, with each contributing four touchdowns this season. Their combined efforts help stretch defenses and open up the field for Indiana's passing game.

Indiana's Defensive Edge

Defensively, the Hoosiers will look to capitalize on their ability to create turnovers. With three interceptions and four fumbles recovered this season, Indiana's defense can shift momentum quickly. Their ability to pressure the quarterback will also be tested, as they face a USC team known for its strong passing attack.

Team Betting Trends

• SU - As Favorite: Last 18 Games (2024–2026) → 16-2 (88.9%)
• SU - After Loss: Last 8 Games (2024–2026) → 8-0 (100.0%)
• SU - Home Games: Last 13 Games (2025–2026) → 12-1 (92.3%)
• SU - All Games: Last 24 Games (2024–2026) → 18-6 (75.0%)
• SU - Totals ≥ 50: Last 23 Games (2024–2026) → 17-6 (73.9%)
• O/U - Home Games: Last 30 Games (2022–2026) → 19-11 (63.3%)
• O/U - After Win: Last 30 Games (2022–2026) → 19-11 (63.3%)
• SU - After Win: Last 15 Games (2025–2026) → 10-5 (66.7%)
• ATS - After Loss: Last 12 Games (2024–2026) → 8-4 (66.7%)
• ATS - Home Games: Last 20 Games (2024–2026) → 12-8 (60.0%)

Indiana vs USC Week 11 Prediction: Over 49.5

Looking at the offensive output of both teams this season, the Indiana Hoosiers and USC Trojans have each accumulated 292 points, ranking them 33rd nationally. This suggests both offenses have the ability to score, making an over 49.5 total appealing.

USC's defense ranks 97th in points against, allowing 218 points this season, which indicates they can be scored on, especially by a strong team like Indiana, currently ranked #6 AP and #5 Coaches Poll. Indiana's offense should find opportunities to take advantage of USC's defensive vulnerabilities.

Indiana's defense is ranked 49th in points against, allowing 112 points. However, they face a USC team that ranks 12th in passing yards, demonstrating a high-powered aerial attack that could challenge Indiana's defense and push the score higher.

The Hoosiers have a strong trend of games going over totals ≥ 50 points, with a 20-1 record in their last 21 games, supporting the expectation for a high-scoring game. Given these factors, the prediction leans towards a game that will surpass the total of 49.5 points, with a projected final score of Indiana 31 - USC 24.

• Indiana vs USC Prediction: Over 49.5
• Indiana vs USC Score: Indiana 31 - USC 24

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