Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction & Betting Tips for the FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm ET start on 9/26/2026

The Ole Miss Rebels, ranked #4 in the AP Poll and #6 in the Coaches Poll, travel to Gainesville for their first road game of the season against the #21 Florida Gators. Both teams enter this Week 4 SEC showdown with perfect 3-0 records, having displayed consistent form through the early weeks. This highly anticipated game will unfold at the iconic Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with the broadcast set for 3:30 PM ET on ABC.

Ole Miss has showcased an explosive passing game, evident in their recent victory over LSU, where they recorded 363 passing yards. Their offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging over 38 points per game across their first three wins. Despite being on the road, they will be looking to maintain their offensive momentum against a strong Florida side.

Meanwhile, the Florida Gators have also been impressive, particularly in their dominant home performances. They have capitalized on their rushing attack, amassing over 200 yards on the ground in two of their three games. With a home record of 2-0 this season, the Gators will aim to leverage their home advantage and continue their unbeaten streak.

Florida vs Ole Miss At a Glance (FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8PM ET start)

• Game Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL
• Game Time: Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET
• TV Broadcast: ABC
• Ole Miss Rebels Record: 3-0 this season
• Florida Gators Record: 3-0 this season
• Game Odds: Florida favored with a spread of -3.5

Florida Gators Ready to Tackle Ole Miss at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Offensive Firepower

The Florida Gators have impressed this season, ranking 3rd in points scored with 162. Their offensive strategy has been well-rounded, generating 895 passing yards and 760 rushing yards, ranking 25th and 15th respectively.

Aaron Philo leads the charge at quarterback, with 721 passing yards and 6 touchdowns over the first three games. His performance is a key factor in Florida's high offensive rankings.

Defensive Strengths

On the defensive side, the Gators have allowed 63 points, placing them 42nd in points against. Their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks is evident, as they are ranked 4th with 11 sacks.

The defense has also been effective in creating turnovers, with 3 interceptions and 3 fumble recoveries, both ranked 4th. This dual-threat of pressure and turnovers makes their defense formidable.

Recent Performances

Florida's recent game against Auburn resulted in a 44-39 victory, highlighting their offensive and defensive capabilities. They managed 24 first downs and 245 rushing yards, showcasing their balanced attack.

The Gators' performance against Campbell was dominant, winning 52-3 with 300 passing yards. This comprehensive victory at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium exemplified their strength on home turf.

Key Players to Watch

Running back Jadan Baugh has been a standout, rushing for 458 yards and 8 touchdowns. His ability to break through defenses is crucial for Florida's ground game.

Wide receivers Vernell Brown III and Dallas Wilson have been reliable targets, combining for 471 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns. Their contributions are vital for stretching the field and keeping defenses honest.

Injury Updates

Eric Singleton Jr., a wide receiver, is questionable with an ankle injury, which could impact the passing game. Running back Kelvin Jimenez is out for the season due to an undisclosed injury.

Despite these setbacks, Florida's depth in offensive positions allows them to maintain high-level performance on the field.

Florida Gators Betting Trends

• SU - All Games: 4-0 (100.0%)
• SU - As Favorite: 4-0 (100.0%)
• O/U - Away Games: 4-0 (100.0%)
• SU - Home Games: 3-0 (100.0%)
• SU - After Win: 3-0 (100.0%)
• SU - Totals ≥ 50: 3-0 (100.0%)
• ATS - After Win: 9-3 (75.0%)
• O/U - After Loss: 19-10 (65.5%)
• ATS - Totals ≥ 50: 19-10 (65.5%)
• O/U - As Underdog: 18-11 (62.1%)

Ole Miss Rebels Set to Tackle the Gators: An In-Depth Preview

Quarterback Analysis

The Ole Miss Rebels are led by quarterback Trinidad Chambliss, who has been a significant contributor in their 3-0 start. With 110 passing attempts, Chambliss has thrown for 924 yards, placing him among the top passers this season. His performance is further highlighted by 7 touchdowns against 2 interceptions, showcasing his efficiency and decision-making on the field.

Deuce Knight has also seen action, albeit limited, with 8 passing attempts and 68 yards. Knight provides a backup option that allows Ole Miss to maintain flexibility in their offensive schemes.

Running Game Insights

Kewan Lacy anchors the rushing attack for Ole Miss, with 191 yards and 4 touchdowns over three games. However, Lacy's availability is in question due to a shoulder injury, which could impact the Rebels' ground game.

JT Lindsey has contributed 48 rushing yards, and with Lacy potentially sidelined, his role may expand. The Rebels' running game has room for improvement, currently ranked 101st with 369 rushing yards this season.

Wide Receiver and Tight End Contributions

Deuce Alexander leads the receiving corps with 20 receptions and 295 yards, alongside 3 touchdowns. His contributions are key for the Rebels' passing game, providing a reliable target for Chambliss.

At tight end, Caleb Odom has made a notable impact with 8 receptions for 154 yards and a touchdown. His presence adds another dimension to the Ole Miss passing attack, complementing the wide receivers effectively.

Defensive Performance

Defensively, Ole Miss has allowed 71 points, ranking 49th, with a standout performance in sacks, where they rank 9th with 6 total. Their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks is complemented by a strong secondary, highlighted by 2 interceptions, ranking 3rd.

While they have yet to recover a fumble, their defensive play has been pivotal in securing victories. The defensive unit's ability to maintain this pressure will be crucial against a potent Florida offense.

Betting Trends

• SU - Home Games: 24-1 (96.0%)
• SU - As Favorite: 27-3 (90.0%)
• SU - All Games: 25-4 (86.2%)
• SU - Totals ≥ 50: 15-1 (93.8%)
• SU - After Win: 13-1 (92.9%)
• SU - After Loss: 7-0 (100.0%)
• SU - Away Games: 13-7 (65.0%)
• ATS - Totals ≥ 50: 15-11 (57.7%)
• SU - As Underdog: 3-1 (75.0%)
• ATS - As Underdog: 3-1 (75.0%)

Florida vs Ole Miss FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8PM ET start Prediction: Florida -3.5

As Florida hosts Ole Miss at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, the Gators are favored by 3.5 points. Florida's impressive offensive performance, ranking 3rd in points for this season, demonstrates their scoring capability. They recently secured a high-scoring victory over Auburn, showcasing their ability to handle competitive games.

Ole Miss, though ranked 4th, has played all their games at home, making this their first road game of the season. Their defense ranks 49th in points against, indicating potential vulnerabilities against a high-powered Florida offense. The Gators' home advantage and recent successful track record as favorites bolster their position in this game.

Florida is also riding a strong betting trend, having covered the spread in 75% of their last games as favorites. Meanwhile, Ole Miss, while strong at home, may face challenges adjusting to an away environment against a top-25 team. Florida's consistent performance at home and in high-total games suggests they can cover the spread.

Considering these factors, the Gators are expected to maintain their winning streak. A final score of Florida 34 - Ole Miss 28 aligns with the spread, further supporting a Florida -3.5 pick.

• Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction: Florida -3.5
• Florida vs Ole Miss Score: Florida 34 - Ole Miss 28

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