Boise State vs Oregon State Prediction & Betting Tips for Week 11 on 11/14/2026

As Week 11 of the 2026 regular season approaches, the Oregon State Beavers are set to travel to Boise, ID, to take on the Boise State Broncos at Albertsons Stadium. This Pac-12 matchup kicks off on Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 6:00 PM and will be broadcast on USA. The Beavers enter the game with a 5-4 record, looking to improve their road performance, which currently stands at 2-2.

Boise State boasts an impressive season so far, with an 8-1 record and an unblemished 4-0 home record. Ranked #17 in the AP Poll and #18 in the Coaches Poll, the Broncos have dominated their conference with a 5-0 record. Their recent 64-38 victory over Colorado State is a testament to their strong offense, which Oregon State's defense will need to counter.

The Beavers have had a mixed run in their last five games, posting a 3-2 record. They suffered a 42-21 loss to Texas State in their most recent outing, despite displaying strong passing yardage against their opponents. As they prepare to face the Broncos, securing a win would be pivotal in enhancing their position within the Pac-12 standings.

Boise State vs Oregon State At a Glance (Week 11)

• Game Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID
• Game Time: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM
• TV Broadcast: USA Network
• Oregon State Record: 5-4 this season
• Boise State Record: 8-1 this season
• Game Odds: Boise State favored by 13.5 points

Boise State Broncos Set to Continue Dominance at Albertsons Stadium

Offensive Prowess

Boise State's offense has been electric this season, ranking 10th in points scored with 351 and 7th in rushing yards at 2,155. Leading the charge is quarterback Maddux Madsen, who has thrown for 1,681 yards and 15 touchdowns. Running back Dylan Riley has been a workhorse, amassing 1,241 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns, contributing significantly to the Broncos' rushing attack.

Wide receiver Rasean Jones has emerged as a top target, hauling in 43 receptions for 661 yards and five touchdowns. Tight end Matt Wagner also adds depth with 31 receptions, 346 yards, and five touchdowns. These weapons make Boise State a formidable force on the offensive side of the ball.

Defensive Challenges

The Broncos' defense, while strong in areas, has faced some challenges, allowing 227 points and ranking 101st in this category. However, they have excelled in creating turnovers, with 7 interceptions and recovering 1 fumble, ranking 8th and 11th, respectively. Their pass rush is a strength, tallying 20 sacks, which ranks 17th nationally.

This defensive unit will need to maintain its pressure and continue generating turnovers to support the offense. The ability to disrupt opposing offenses will be critical in their upcoming games.

Recent Performances

Boise State is riding high on a five-game winning streak, with impressive victories over Colorado State (64-38) and Texas State (46-45). Their ability to perform in close games, such as the one against Texas State, showcases their resilience and winning mentality. This momentum will be key as they face upcoming opponents at home.

The Broncos' offensive balance was evident in their recent win over Colorado State, where they amassed 317 passing yards and 356 rushing yards. This balance makes them a tough team to defend and will be a significant factor against their next opponents.

Injury Concerns

Quarterback Maddux Madsen is listed as questionable with a knee injury, a critical concern given his role in the offense. Running back Sire Gaines and offensive lineman Carson Rasmussen are also questionable, which could impact the Broncos' depth. Offensive lineman Jacob Tracy is out for the remainder of the season, further complicating the situation.

The ability of these players to return and contribute could significantly impact Boise State's performance in the upcoming games. Their health status will be closely monitored as game day approaches.

Betting Trends

• SU - As Favorite: 28-2 (93.3%) in the last 30 games (2024–2026)
• SU - Home Games: 22-1 (95.7%) in the last 23 games (2023–2026)
• SU - Totals ≥ 50: 26-3 (89.7%) in the last 29 games (2024–2026)
• SU - After Win: 23-4 (85.2%) in the last 27 games (2024–2026)
• O/U - Home Games: 4-0 (100.0%) in the last 4 games (2026)

Boise State has been highly successful as favorites and at home, with a strong record against the spread and total over/unders. These trends highlight their dominance and reliability in betting scenarios, especially when playing at Albertsons Stadium.

Oregon State Beavers Aim to Rebound on the Road

Offensive Overview

The Oregon State Beavers have demonstrated a potent offensive capability, as highlighted by their ranking of 1st in passing yards with 3336 this season. Braden Atkinson has been a standout performer, amassing 3171 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. While their passing attack is formidable, the rushing game has been less effective, ranking 108th with 1160 yards.

Jesse Legree has been a key target for Atkinson, leading the team with 61 receptions, 1209 receiving yards, and 14 touchdowns. AJ Newberry adds versatility to the offense with 506 rushing yards and 303 receiving yards. His ability to contribute in both phases makes him a vital component of the Beavers' offensive strategy.

Defensive Analysis

Defensively, Oregon State has shown some vulnerabilities, ranking 112th in points against with 242 this season. However, they have been proficient in generating turnovers, with 8 interceptions and 4 fumbles recovered, both ranked in the top 10. This opportunistic defense will need to be on full alert against Boise State.

The Beavers' pass rush, led by 18 sacks, ranks 19th, indicating their ability to disrupt opposing quarterbacks. Their secondary, despite the ability to create turnovers, will have to tighten coverage to limit big plays. The defensive unit will be crucial in keeping the game competitive.

Recent Performances

Oregon State's recent form has been inconsistent, evident from their 3-2 record over the last five games. They suffered a significant defeat against Texas State, losing 42-21, where the defense allowed 389 rushing yards. This was a concern that the team will need to address ahead of their next game.

Despite losses, the Beavers have had explosive offensive outings, notably against San Diego State, where they scored 66 points. This ability to put up high scores indicates that the Beavers can be a formidable threat when their offense is in sync.

Key Players to Watch

Braden Atkinson is the engine of Oregon State's offense, and his performance will be pivotal in their quest for victory. Jesse Legree, a reliable target, will also be crucial in the passing game. Defensively, players like Eric Olsen can make a significant impact, especially in tight game situations.

On the ground, AJ Newberry's dual-threat ability offers a dynamic element to the Beavers' offensive strategy. His contribution will be essential in balancing the attack against the Broncos. The performance of these key players will be instrumental in determining the outcome.

Betting Trends

• O/U - After Win: 4-0 in last 4 games (2026)
• O/U - Home Games: 10-3 in last 13 games (2024–2026)
• SU - As Favorite: 20-10 in last 30 games (2022–2026)
• SU - After Win: 19-10 in last 29 games (2022–2026)
• ATS - After Win: 19-10 in last 29 games (2022–2026)
• O/U - All Games: 7-2 in last 9 games (2026)
• O/U - Totals ≥ 50: 7-2 in last 9 games (2026)
• SU - Home Games: 18-11 in last 29 games (2022–2026)
• O/U - As Favorite: 4-1 in last 5 games (2026)
• SU - All Games: 5-2 in last 7 games (2026)

Boise State vs Oregon State Week 11 Prediction: Over 65.5

Boise State's offense has been remarkably effective this season, scoring 351 points to rank 10th in the nation. Their potent rushing attack, ranked 7th, provides balance and the ability to score quickly. Given their recent 64-point performance against Colorado State, they have shown they can contribute significantly to a high total.

Oregon State also brings a dynamic offense, leading the country in passing yards with 3,336 this season. Although their rushing game ranks 108th, their ability to air it out provides the potential for explosive plays. Despite a recent loss where they scored 21 points, their offense has proven capable of contributing to high-scoring games.

Both teams have displayed vulnerabilities on defense, with Boise State allowing 227 points and Oregon State 242 points this season. This suggests that both offenses can exploit defensive weaknesses, further increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The trends for both teams indicate a propensity for games going over the total, especially for Boise State at home.

Given the offensive capabilities and defensive liabilities of both squads, the over appears to be the more favorable play. Anticipating another offensive showcase, the projected final score is Boise State 42 - Oregon State 28, comfortably surpassing the total of 65.5.

• Boise State vs Oregon State Prediction: Over 65.5
• Boise State vs Oregon State Score: Boise State 42 - Oregon State 28

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