Arizona State vs Hawaii Prediction & Betting Tips for Week 6 on 10/10/2026

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors head to Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, AZ for a Week 6 showdown against the Arizona State Sun Devils. The game is set to kick off at 9:30 PM on Saturday, October 10, 2026, and will be broadcasted on FS1. Hawaii enters this matchup with a 1-4 record, struggling on the road with an 0-2 mark.

Arizona State looks to capitalize on their home advantage, having won two of their three games at Mountain America Stadium this season. Currently sitting at 2-2, the Sun Devils aim to improve their standing in the Big 12. Despite a recent setback against Baylor, they have shown they can produce high-scoring games.

The Rainbow Warriors will be hoping to bounce back from a narrow loss to San Jose State. Meanwhile, Arizona State will seek to recapture the offensive firepower that led to their 70-7 victory over Morgan State in the season opener. The odds heavily favor Arizona State, with a moneyline of -1583 compared to Hawaii’s +917.

Arizona State vs Hawaii At a Glance (Week 6)

• Game Location: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
• Hawaii's Current Record: 1-4 overall, 0-3 in conference play
• Arizona State's Current Record: 2-2 overall, 1-1 in conference play
• Broadcast Details: FS1 at 9:30 PM on October 10, 2026
• Game Odds: Hawaii +917 moneyline, Arizona State -1583 moneyline
• Weather Impact: Outdoor game setting at Mountain America Stadium

Arizona State Sun Devils Look to Rebound Against Hawaii

Offensive Performance

The Arizona State Sun Devils have scored 133 points this season, ranking them 50th in the nation. Their passing game has accumulated 1,091 yards, placing them 68th. However, their rushing attack has only managed 603 yards, ranking 102nd.

Quarterback Cutter Boley has been a key player, contributing significantly to the passing yards with 1,040 yards and 10 touchdowns. Wide receiver Reed Harris has been a standout with 26 receptions and 499 receiving yards, leading the team in both categories.

Defensive Challenges

Defensively, the Sun Devils have allowed 127 points, ranking 82nd nationally. Despite these challenges, they have been effective in creating turnovers, with two interceptions and two fumbles recovered, ranking 3rd and 7th respectively.

Their pass rush has been a bright spot, as they've registered seven sacks, placing them 15th in the nation. However, the defensive line will face challenges with MyKeil Gardner out for the season due to an Achilles injury.

Recent Game Performance

In their last outing, the Sun Devils fell to the Baylor Bears 55-19. Despite the loss, they showed some offensive potential, with 310 passing yards and 23 first downs. However, their run defense struggled, allowing 244 rushing yards.

Prior to the Baylor game, Arizona State secured a win against Kansas, 24-17, showcasing their ability to bounce back after a loss. The team will need to replicate this resilience in their upcoming game against Hawaii.

Key Injuries

Several players are dealing with injuries, which could impact the team's depth and performance. Zyrus Fiaseu and Khamari Anderson are out for the season, while Grayson Rigdon and Brent Helton are questionable for the upcoming game.

Wade Helton's leg injury is also a concern, as he is expected to miss a few weeks. These injuries have particularly affected the offensive line and tight end positions.

Team Betting Trends

• SU - After Loss: Last 8 Games (2024–2026) → 8-0 (100.0%)
• ATS - After Loss: Last 8 Games (2024–2026) → 8-0 (100.0%)
• SU - As Favorite: Last 19 Games (2022–2026) → 16-3 (84.2%)
• SU - Totals ≥ 50: Last 14 Games (2024–2026) → 12-2 (85.7%)
• SU - Home Games: Last 17 Games (2024–2026) → 14-3 (82.4%)

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Head to Mountain America Stadium: A Preview of Their Away Game

Quarterback Analysis

Leading the charge for the Rainbow Warriors is quarterback Micah Alejado. Alejado has shown his abilities with 215 passing attempts, accumulating 1,357 yards, ranking him 18th in the league. He has recorded 4 touchdowns but has also been intercepted 3 times.

Bjorn Jurgensen, another quarterback on the roster, has seen limited action with only 4 passing attempts. Despite the limited playing time, he remains a potential asset if called upon during the game.

Running Back Overview

DeVon Rice has been the primary running back for Hawaii, contributing significantly to their ground game. With 276 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns, Rice's performance is crucial for their offensive strategy.

Supporting Rice in the backfield is Sitani Mikaele, who has managed 67 rushing yards and 1 touchdown. Their ability to break through Arizona State's defensive line will be vital.

Wide Receivers and Tight Ends

Tama Uiliata and Kainoa Carvalho have been leading the receiving corps, with 27 and 22 receptions, respectively. Uiliata's 245 receiving yards and Carvalho's 249 yards illustrate their importance in Hawaii's aerial attack.

At tight end, Devon Tauaefa has made contributions with 6 receptions for 64 yards and 1 touchdown. His ability to provide a reliable target in short-yardage situations is valuable for the Rainbow Warriors.

Kicking Game

The kicking responsibilities fall to Sean Olvera-Harle, who has proven reliable, making 9 field goals this season. Olvera-Harle's accuracy could play a pivotal role in close scoring situations.

Betting Trends

• SU - As Favorite: Last 21 Games (2020–2026) → 16-5 (76.2%)
• ATS - Home Games: Last 19 Games (2023–2026) → 14-5 (73.7%)
• SU - Home Games: Last 19 Games (2023–2026) → 13-6 (68.4%)
• SU - After Loss: Last 8 Games (2024–2026) → 6-2 (75.0%)
• ATS - After Loss: Last 8 Games (2024–2026) → 6-2 (75.0%)
• ATS - All Games: Last 22 Games (2024–2026) → 13-9 (59.1%)
• ATS - As Underdog: Last 13 Games (2024–2026) → 8-5 (61.5%)

Arizona State vs Hawaii Week 6 Prediction: Over 51.5

Arizona State's offensive stats this season suggest a high-scoring game is likely. They have scored 133 points in four games, ranking 50th in points for this season. Coupled with the fact that Arizona State games with totals over 50 have resulted in a high success rate (12-2), the stage is set for a potentially high-output performance.

Hawaii's defense, allowing 124 points over five games, indicates vulnerabilities that Arizona State could exploit. Despite their poor road record, Hawaii's high rank in passing yards (25th) shows their potential to contribute to a higher scoring total. Their previous game ended in a narrow loss with them scoring 16 points, demonstrating they can put up points even in unfavorable circumstances.

Historical trends also favor a game that surpasses the 51.5 total. Arizona State's home games have consistently hit the over, with a 12-8 record in their last 20 contests. Additionally, Hawaii's road games have shown an even distribution in over/under outcomes, suggesting variability but also potential for high scoring when faced with a strong offensive opponent.

Taking into account both teams' offensive capabilities and Arizona State's tendency to hit the over in similar settings, the forecast points toward a game that should exceed the 51.5 total. The prediction is Arizona State will capitalize on their home-field advantage, while Hawaii's passing attack contributes to pushing the scoreline upward.

• Arizona State vs Hawaii Prediction: Over 51.5
• Arizona State vs Hawaii Score: Arizona State 35 - Hawaii 24

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