The UC Davis Aggies are set to play against the Sacramento State Hornets at Hornet Pavilion. This game is part of the non-conference regular season, featuring teams from the Mountain West and Big West. Both teams have shown competitive performances early in the season.
UC Davis has started their season with a 2-1 record, winning both games at home. Key players like Brayden Fagbemi and Veniamin Abosi have contributed significantly in their recent games. The Aggies are entering this game as the underdog with a spread of +3.5.
Sacramento State, with a 1-1 record, looks to maintain their strong home performance. Players such as Mikey Williams and Larry Hughes II have been standout contributors. As the favorite with a spread of -3.5, the Hornets aim to secure another home victory.
Sacramento State vs UC Davis At a Glance
- Matchup: UC Davis Aggies vs Sacramento State Hornets
- Venue: Hornet Pavilion, Sacramento CA
- Date & Time: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Odds Favorite: Sacramento State -3.5
- UC Davis Record: 2-1 in 2027 Regular Season
Sacramento State Hornets: A Deep Dive into Their Season and Upcoming Game
Offensive Performance
Sacramento State Hornets average 83.5 points per game. This places them at the 132nd spot in scoring across the nation. Their offensive tempo is fast, with 81.8 possessions each game, ranked 19th overall.
The Hornets are taking 56 field goal attempts per game. Their shooting accuracy stands at 43.8%, ranking them 237th. From beyond the arc, they make 8 three-pointers per game on average.
Free Throw Efficiency
The Hornets excel at drawing fouls and getting to the free-throw line. They rank 4th in attempts and 6th in free throws made per game. Despite the volume, their conversion rate is 70.7%.
Getting to the line has been a significant factor in their scoring strategy. It helps them maintain offensive pressure even when field goals aren't falling.
Defensive Overview
On defense, Sacramento State struggles with fouls, averaging 22 per game. This is one of their main challenges. They also need to improve their ability to protect the ball, as they commit 16.5 turnovers per game.
The team records 9.5 steals per game, yet ranks low at 421st. Their blocking game is also an area for growth, with just 4 blocks each game.
Key Players
Larry Hughes II leads the team with an average of 18 points per game. His field goal percentage is 40%, making him a reliable scorer. Mikey Williams contributes significantly with 15.5 points and 8.5 rebounds per game.
Taj Glover is also a key contributor, averaging 13.5 points and maintaining an impressive 73.3% shooting rate. His efficiency is a bright spot for the Hornets.
Recent Game Performance
In their recent game against Santa Clara, the Hornets scored 77 points. Despite losing, Taj Glover shined with 19 points in 22 minutes. Against William Jessup, they won by 16 points, with Larry Hughes II leading the charge with 24 points.
These games showcase the team's offensive capabilities and highlight areas needing defensive improvement. Consistency is key for their future success.
Betting Trends
- SU Last 3: 1-1 (50.0%)
- SU All Games: 1-1 (50.0%)
- ATS Last 3: 1-0-1 (50.0%)
- ATS as Underdog: 1-0 (100.0%)
- O/U Last 3: 0-1 (0.0%)
UC Davis Aggies: A Detailed Look at the Upcoming Game
Team Overview
UC Davis Aggies have shown a balanced approach this season. Their record stands at 2-1, indicating a solid start. They play with high energy, reflected in their possessions per game.
Despite the fast-paced game, their field goal percentage is an area for improvement. Shooting accuracy can be pivotal for their upcoming challenges.
Key Players to Watch
Veniamin Abosi stands out with impressive stats, averaging over 13 points per game. His rebounding ability adds depth to the team’s defense.
Brayden Fagbemi is another key player, contributing significantly with assists and points. His field goal percentage is strong, showcasing his efficiency on the court.
Connor Sevilla’s scoring ability adds a layer to the Aggies' offensive strategy. His performance is critical in tight game situations.
Offensive Strategy
UC Davis focuses on free throws, ranking high in both attempts and made free throws. This strategy could be crucial in close games.
The team also attempts a fair number of three-pointers. Increasing their three-point percentage could be a game-changer.
Defensive Challenges
Defensively, the Aggies excel in blocking shots. This can disrupt opponents' offensive flow.
However, they need to reduce turnovers to maintain control of the game. Fouls per game are also a concern that needs addressing.
Team Betting Trends
- SU Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU All Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- ATS Last 3: 1-1-1 (33.3%)
- ATS All Games: 1-1-1 (33.3%)
- O/U Last 3: 2-0 (100.0%)
- O/U All Games: 2-0 (100.0%)
Sacramento State vs UC Davis Prediction: Under 159.5
UC Davis averages about 73.7 points per game, while Sacramento State scores 83.5 points per game. Combining these two averages gives a total of 157.2 points, which is below the set total of 159.5. Both teams also have lower shooting percentages, which might limit the number of points scored.
UC Davis has a slower pace with 72.5 possessions per game compared to Sacramento State's 81.8. This difference in pace can affect the total points, especially if UC Davis manages to control the flow of the game. Sacramento State's slightly higher points per game could be offset by their lower field goal percentage.
In their recent head-to-head games, the total scores have often been less than 159.5. UC Davis tends to keep the games close, with their last meeting ending at a total of 150 points. Past trends indicate a likelihood for the total to stay below the current line.
Both teams have shown tendencies to play tight defensive games. Sacramento State's free throw attempts might add points, but their percentage indicates they may not convert enough to push the total over.
- Sacramento State vs UC Davis Prediction: Under 159.5
- Sacramento State vs UC Davis Score: Sacramento State 81 - UC Davis 75
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