The Cal Poly Mustangs head into their non-conference game with a 1-2 record in the early part of the 2027 season. They have struggled on the road, losing both of their away games. Players like Hamad Mousa and Troy Plumtree have shown potential in recent games.
On the other side, the Idaho Vandals have a 2-1 record, with strong performances at home. Kase Wynott has been a standout player, contributing significantly in both scoring and rebounding. The Vandals play in the Big Sky Conference and will host the game at ICCU Arena.
Idaho is favored to win, with odds leaning slightly in their favor. The Mustangs are considered underdogs, but their recent performances hint at potential surprises. Both teams will look to capitalize on their strengths in this non-conference matchup.
Idaho vs Cal Poly At a Glance
- Matchup: Cal Poly Mustangs vs Idaho Vandals
- Venue: ICCU Arena, Moscow ID
- Date & Time: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Cal Poly Record: 1-2 for the 2027 Regular Season
- Idaho Record: 2-1 for the 2027 Regular Season
Idaho Vandals Ready to Prove Their Mettle
Offensive Efficiency
The Idaho Vandals are scoring 90.7 points per game, ranking them 63rd nationally. They attempt 70.0 field goals per game, placing them 27th in the nation. Their field goal percentage sits at 49.0, which is 94th overall.
From beyond the arc, Idaho makes 11.0 three-pointers per game, positioning them 57th. Their three-point shooting percentage is 34.7, which ranks 160th. Their free throw percentage is 62.3, which is a point of concern.
Defensive Highlights
Idaho's defense is holding strong with 5.3 steals per game, ranking them 107th. Their block rate stands at 1.7 per game, placing them 84th. They commit 15.3 fouls on average, ranking 92nd in that category.
The Vandals excel at limiting turnovers, with just 8.3 per game, ranking 18th nationally. Their rebounding effort is commendable, pulling down 45.0 boards per game, ranking 39th overall.
Key Players to Watch
Kase Wynott is leading the team with 18.3 points per game. Hudson Ward contributes significantly with 12.7 points and 8.0 rebounds per game. Seth Joba adds another 10.3 points and 6.7 rebounds per game.
Kristian Gonzalez, however, is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury. His absence impacts the Vandals' depth in the backcourt.
Recent Game Performances
In their recent win over Lincoln Oaks, Idaho scored 108 points, shooting 57.9% from the field. Kase Wynott stood out with 16 points and 8 rebounds. In their loss to Colorado State, the Vandals managed 67 points, with Wynott scoring 19 points.
Hudson Ward's double-digit rebounding efforts have been crucial in securing victories. The Vandals' game against George Fox saw them score 97 points, with Wynott again leading with 20 points.
Betting Trends
- SU Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU All Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- ATS All Games: 1-0-2 (33.3%)
- ATS as Underdog: 1-0 (100.0%)
- O/U All Games: 0-1 (0.0%)
Cal Poly Mustangs Prepare for a Tough Game
Offensive Insights
The Mustangs average 77.7 points per game, ranking them 214th. They attempt 62 field goals per game with a field goal percentage of 43.5.
The team is effective at making three-point shots, averaging 11 per game. They have a three-point shooting percentage of 34.0.
Defensive Overview
Cal Poly has 5.0 steals per game, ranking them 73rd. They also average 3.7 blocks per game.
Turnovers and fouls are areas of concern, with 21 turnovers and 22.7 fouls per game. These are high compared to other teams.
Key Players to Watch
Hamad Mousa leads the team in scoring with 21.3 points per game. He has a shooting percentage of 57.1.
Cayden Ward contributes with 11.0 points and 6.7 rebounds per game. Jess Esso Essis adds 10.3 points per game.
Recent Game Performance
In a recent game against Grand Canyon, the Mustangs lost by 28 points. Mousa scored 16 points with 5 rebounds.
Against Arizona, they lost by 20 points but Mousa scored 30 points. The team needs to tighten their defense to improve outcomes.
Betting Trends
- SU Last 3: 1-2 (33.3%)
- ATS Last 3: 1-1-1 (33.3%)
- O/U Last 3: 1-1 (50.0%)
The Mustangs are still finding their rhythm. They need to focus on reducing turnovers and fouls to increase their chances of success.
Idaho vs Cal Poly Prediction: Idaho -0.5
Idaho enters this game with a strong home record, having won both games played at ICCU Arena this season. Their offensive stats are impressive, with an average of 90.7 points per game. This is significantly higher than Cal Poly’s average, making Idaho a solid choice to cover the spread of -0.5.
Cal Poly struggles on the road, currently holding a 0-2 record in away games. Their shooting percentages are lower compared to Idaho, which could be a disadvantage in a high-paced game. Idaho's defensive stats, including keeping turnovers low, also work in their favor.
The head-to-head history suggests Idaho tends to perform well against Cal Poly, especially at home. In recent meetings, Idaho has outscored Cal Poly by a small margin on average. This trend supports Idaho’s ability to secure a narrow victory again.
Given the data and trends, Idaho's home advantage and scoring ability should enable them to win and cover the spread. Expect a high-scoring game but with Idaho taking the edge by keeping their home streak intact.
- Idaho vs Cal Poly Prediction: Idaho -0.5
- Idaho vs Cal Poly Score: Idaho 88 - Cal Poly 83
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