Fairfield vs Vermont Prediction & Betting Tips for CBB on 11/5/2026

The Vermont Catamounts head into their second game of the season against the Fairfield Stags. Vermont lost narrowly to Iona Gaels, 56-55, in their season opener. Key players like Gus Yalden and Momo Nkugwa showed strong performances in that game.

Fairfield Stags will be playing their first game of the season at the Leo D. Mahoney Arena. They are favorites by a narrow margin according to the spread. This matchup will be a chance to see how they perform in front of their home crowd.

Vermont is looking to improve on their early season record of 0-1. With players like Will Davies contributing to their efforts, they aim to turn the tide. It will be interesting to see how both teams fare as they meet under the lights of ESPN+ coverage.

Fairfield vs Vermont At a Glance

• Game Venue: Leo D. Mahoney Arena, Fairfield CT
• Game Date & Time: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Vermont Record: 0-1 this season
• Game Odds: Fairfield favored by 1.5 points
• Fairfield Season Opener: This is their first game of the season

Fairfield Stags Ready to Open the Season with High Hopes

Offensive Overview

The Fairfield Stags scored 74.4 points per game last season. They managed 63.1 field goal attempts on average, ranking high nationally in that category.

Despite many attempts, their shooting accuracy was low. The team shot only 43.1% from the field, ranking near the bottom. Improving this percentage is key for the Stags this year.

Defensive Insight

Defensively, the Stags had 6.7 steals per game. They also averaged 3.6 blocks, which shows room for improvement.

Turnovers were another area of concern, with Fairfield averaging 10.1 per game. Keeping control of the ball will be crucial in upcoming games.

Key Players to Watch

Braden Sparks led the team with 17.2 points per game. His ability to score from beyond the arc was notable, making 2.8 three-pointers per game.

Brandon Benjamin was a force in the paint. He averaged a double-double with 14.2 points and 10.4 rebounds per game. His inside presence will be important.

Injury Concerns

Marko Radunovic's status is uncertain due to an undisclosed injury. If he plays, his presence could add depth to the lineup.

Team Betting Trends

• SU Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
• SU as Favorite: 13-4 (76.5%)
• ATS Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
• ATS as Underdog: 8-8 (50.0%)
• O/U Last 5: 0-5 (0.0%)

Vermont Catamounts: Analyzing the Challenge Ahead

Offensive Performance Overview

The Vermont Catamounts have struggled offensively this season. They score an average of 55 points per game, placing them near the bottom in scoring. Their shooting percentage sits at 35.8%, a factor in their offensive challenges.

In terms of three-point shooting, Vermont attempts 31 shots per game but only makes 25.8% of them. This indicates that while they take many shots from beyond the arc, they have difficulty converting them.

Defensive Play

Defensively, the Catamounts average 9 steals per game. This shows some strength in their ability to disrupt the opponent's plays. They also record 4 blocks per game, providing a presence in the paint.

However, Vermont allows 56 points per game, which means their defense is not shutting down opponents effectively. They also commit 13 fouls per game, a relatively disciplined number.

Key Players to Watch

Gus Yalden stands out with 17 points per game and a field goal percentage of 58.3%. His contributions are vital to Vermont's offensive efforts. Momo Nkugwa adds 12 points per game, maintaining a shooting percentage of 57.1%.

Will Davies contributes 10 points per game and leads the team with 4 assists per game. These players form the core of Vermont's roster and their performances will be crucial.

Rebounding and Ball Movement

Vermont averages 39 rebounds per game, which is a respectable number. They need to capitalize on second-chance opportunities from these rebounds. However, the team struggles with ball movement, averaging only 9 assists per game.

This lack of assists indicates difficulties in creating open shots and facilitating team play. Improving this aspect could enhance their overall performance.

Current Injury Concerns

Daniil Glazkov is listed as questionable due to an undisclosed injury. His availability remains uncertain, which could affect Vermont's depth. The team will need to adjust if he is unable to play.

Betting Trends

• SU Last 3: 0-1 (0.0%)
• SU Last 5: 0-1 (0.0%)
• SU Last 10: 0-1 (0.0%)
• SU All Games: 0-1 (0.0%)
• SU as Favorite: 0-1 (0.0%)

• ATS Last 3: 0-1 (0.0%)
• ATS Last 5: 0-1 (0.0%)
• ATS Last 10: 0-1 (0.0%)
• ATS All Games: 0-1 (0.0%)
• ATS as Favorite: 0-1 (0.0%)

• O/U Last 3: 0-1 (0.0%)
• O/U Last 5: 0-1 (0.0%)
• O/U Last 10: 0-1 (0.0%)
• O/U All Games: 0-1 (0.0%)

Fairfield vs Vermont Prediction: Under 141.5

Fairfield averaged 74.4 points per game last season but struggled with efficiency, posting a field goal percentage of 43.1%. Vermont, on the other hand, began their season scoring just 55 points with a shooting percentage of 35.8%. The combination of these statistics suggests a low-scoring game.

Vermont has a slow pace, averaging 61.1 possessions per game, one of the slowest in college basketball. With Fairfield slightly faster at 66.4 possessions, the overall game tempo will likely remain below average. This should limit scoring opportunities, keeping the total points lower.

Historically, Fairfield's last five games have all gone under the total. Vermont's last game also stayed under the point total, which points to a trend of lower-scoring games for both teams. Given these trends, a lower total is expected in this matchup.

Our projected final score for this game is Fairfield 70 - Vermont 65. This score would keep the total under 141.5. Betting the under appears to be the more favorable option based on current data and trends.

• Fairfield vs Vermont Prediction: Under 141.5
• Fairfield vs Vermont Score: Fairfield 70 - Vermont 65

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