Duke vs Michigan State Prediction & Betting Tips for CBB on 11/10/2026

The Michigan State Spartans, ranked number five, will take on the number two Duke Blue Devils in a highly anticipated college basketball game. Both teams come into this non-conference showdown with a perfect 2-0 record. The game will take place at the United Center in Chicago, providing a neutral site for this encounter.

Michigan State has started the season strong with wins over Toledo and Quinnipiac. Key players like Jordan Scott and Jeremy Fears Jr. have contributed significantly in these games. The Spartans will look to extend their winning streak against a tough Duke squad.

Duke also has an unblemished record, having defeated Coastal Carolina and Army. Patrick Ngongba II and Cayden Boozer have been pivotal in Duke's early success. As the favored team, Duke aims to continue their dominance against Michigan State.

Duke vs Michigan State At a Glance

• Matchup: #5 Michigan State vs #2 Duke
• Location: United Center, Chicago IL
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Date & Time: November 10, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET
• Duke Favorite: Spread -6.5
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

Duke Blue Devils: A Closer Look at the Season So Far

Offensive Performance

The Duke Blue Devils have been averaging 98.5 points per game this season. This high-scoring offense is supported by a solid field goal percentage of 55.4%. With 24 free throws made per game, they capitalize on scoring opportunities from the line.

The team averages 60.5 field goal attempts per game. Their effective field goal percentage stands at 61.2%, showing their efficient shooting. Duke's 2-point shooting is impressive with a 67.5% success rate.

Key Players to Watch

Patrick Ngongba II leads the team in scoring, averaging 19 points and 8 rebounds per game. Dame Sarr has also been effective with 14 points and 3 assists per game. Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje contributes with 12 points and 6 rebounds per game.

Cayden Boozer adds depth with 10 points and 7.5 assists per game. Caleb Foster, despite an ankle injury, scores 9.5 points per game. John Blackwell rounds out the roster with 9 points per game.

Defensive Stats

Duke's defense records 14 steals per game. The team averages 7.5 blocks per game, highlighting their defensive presence. However, they also commit 14 turnovers per game.

Fouls per game stand at 18, which the team might need to address. Overall, the defense complements the offensive output, creating a balanced team performance.

Injury Concerns

Caleb Foster is questionable with an ankle issue. Drew Scharnowski's status is uncertain due to a knee injury. These injuries might impact the team's depth and rotation.

Team Betting Trends

• SU All Games: 2-0 (100.0%)
• ATS All Games: 1-1 (50.0%)
• O/U All Games: 1-1 (50.0%)

Michigan State Spartans Gear Up for the Next Game

Offensive Strength

The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 93.5 points per game, which ranks them 49th nationally. They shoot efficiently with a field goal percentage of 54.6, placing them 19th. Their effective field goal percentage is also strong at 62.2, ranking 24th.

The Spartans make 9.5 three-pointers per game. Their three-point shooting percentage stands at 40.4, which is 59th in the nation. They attempt 23.5 three-pointers per game.

Defensive Overview

Michigan State averages 9.0 steals per game. However, their blocks per game are low at 5.5. The Spartans commit 22.5 fouls per game.

Turnovers are an issue for the Spartans, with 13.0 per game. They need to tighten their defense to improve their performance. Consistent defensive efforts can help control the game's pace.

Key Players

Jeremy Fears Jr. leads the team with 12.5 points and 10.0 assists per game. Despite his leg injury, he remains a crucial player if available. His field goal percentage is 53.3, making him a reliable scorer.

Jordan Scott contributes 11.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. He also averages 4.0 assists. His presence in the forward position adds depth to the team.

Recent Performances

In their recent game against Toledo, the Spartans scored 91 points, winning by 30. Jasiah Jervis led the team with 16 points. Their shooting percentage was an impressive 50.9.

Against Quinnipiac, the team scored 96 points and had a 58.1 shooting percentage. Jeremy Fears Jr. had 13 points and 11 assists in that game. The team’s overall performance has been strong in these early games.

Team Betting Trends

• SU Last 3: 2-0 (100.0%)
• SU Last 5: 2-0 (100.0%)
• SU Last 10: 2-0 (100.0%)
• SU All Games: 2-0 (100.0%)
• SU as Favorite: 2-0 (100.0%)

• ATS Last 3: 2-0 (100.0%)
• ATS Last 5: 2-0 (100.0%)
• ATS Last 10: 2-0 (100.0%)
• ATS All Games: 2-0 (100.0%)
• ATS as Favorite: 2-0 (100.0%)

• O/U Last 3: 1-1 (50.0%)
• O/U Last 5: 1-1 (50.0%)
• O/U Last 10: 1-1 (50.0%)
• O/U All Games: 1-1 (50.0%)

Duke vs Michigan State Prediction: Michigan State +6.5

In this game, the spread is set at Duke -6.5, but Michigan State's recent performance suggests they can cover. Michigan State has an impressive offensive output with 93.5 points per game. Their effective field goal percentage of 62.2 indicates they are efficient shooters.

Duke has a strong scoring ability, averaging 98.5 points per game. However, Michigan State's defense could slow them down. Michigan State's rebounding strength could limit Duke's second chances, giving them an edge.

Historically, Duke has performed well against Michigan State, winning four of the last five games. However, the Spartans have been consistent this season, with a 2-0 record against the spread. This suggests they are likely to keep the game close.

Taking these factors into account, picking Michigan State to cover the spread of +6.5 seems reasonable. The predicted final score is a narrow win for Duke, with Michigan State covering the spread.

• Duke vs Michigan State Prediction: Michigan State +6.5
• Duke vs Michigan State Score: Duke 78 - Michigan State 74

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