NHL Predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Betting Tips for 3/28/2026

Want our best Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars prediction for on 3/28/26? Get our NHL betting tip as the Stars travel to the Penguins on 3/28/26 at PPG Paints Arena, in Pittsburgh. Knup Sports has your free pick!

The Dallas Stars, with a regular season record of 43-18-11, will travel to PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins, who hold a 36-20-16 record. As the Stars continue their season under the guidance of head coach Glen Gulutzan, they aim to solidify their position in the Western Central Division. This game is set to air on ESPN+ on Saturday, March 28, 2026, at 5:00 PM.

Under head coach Dan Muse, the Penguins have shown resilience with a balanced performance in the Eastern Metropolitan Division. Despite their recent win against the Ottawa Senators, they will need to improve on their conference record of 20-22 to climb the standings. With a home game advantage, the Penguins will look to leverage their recent form at PPG Paints Arena.

The odds favor the Dallas Stars with a MoneyLine of -126, making them the favorites for this encounter. Meanwhile, the Penguins stand as underdogs with a MoneyLine of +106, indicating a challenging yet promising game ahead. Both teams will be eager to capitalize on their strengths and recent performances as they clash on the ice.

Penguins vs Stars At a Glance

  • Venue: The game will take place at PPG Paints Arena.
  • Game Time: Scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026, at 5:00 PM.
  • TV Coverage: Fans can watch the game on ESPN+.
  • Dallas Stars Record: They hold a record of 43-18-11 this season.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins Record: Their current season record stands at 36-20-16.
  • Game Odds: Dallas Stars are favored with a MoneyLine of -126, while the Penguins are at +106.

Penguins Prepare to Take on the Dallas Stars

Team Overview

The Penguins have shown a strong offensive front this season, ranking 7th in both goals and assists. Their 245 goals and 417 assists highlight their ability to create scoring opportunities consistently. With a robust 2101 shots on goal, they are 8th in the league, indicating a high shot volume that could challenge any defense.

However, the Penguins’ physical play lacks aggression, as evidenced by their 28th rank in hits. This could be a critical area for improvement, especially against physical teams. Their defensive effort is more commendable, with 1069 blocks placing them 12th in the league.

Key Players to Watch

Sidney Crosby continues to be a pivotal force for the Penguins, contributing 28 goals and 36 assists over 61 games. His ability to read plays and set up scoring chances remains invaluable. Bryan Rust is another offensive threat, with 26 goals and 33 assists, making him a reliable secondary scorer.

On the blue line, Erik Karlsson’s 12 goals and 45 assists showcase his offensive capabilities from the back end. His 57 blocks also underline his commitment to defense. Rickard Rakell, with 17 goals and 22 assists, adds depth to the Penguins’ attacking lineup.

Goaltending Insights

Stuart Skinner has been a workhorse in the net with 44 games played, securing 21 wins for the team. His performance will be crucial in keeping the Stars’ offense at bay. With 996 saves and 124 goals against, his ability to make key stops can turn the tide in tight games.

Arturs Silovs, with 16 wins in 34 games, provides solid backup support. His consistency in the net offers the Penguins a reliable option if needed during the game.

Betting Trends

  • SU Last 3: 1-2 (33.3%)
  • SU Last 5: 2-3 (40.0%)
  • SU Last 10: 5-5 (50.0%)
  • SU All Games: 29-20 (59.2%)
  • SU as Favorite: 12-5 (70.6%)
  • SU as Underdog: 17-15 (53.1%)

The Penguins have been strong straight up, with a 59.2% win rate overall. As favorites, they have been particularly dominant, winning over 70% of such games. Their puckline success at 65.3% highlights their ability to cover spreads, making them a favorable choice for bettors.

Stars Shine in Anticipated Battle Against the Penguins

Penguins Offensive Analysis

The Penguins’ offensive prowess ranks high in the NHL, particularly in power play goals where they lead with 63, showcasing their ability to capitalize on power play opportunities. With 240 goals this season, they hold the 8th position, indicating a strong offensive lineup capable of threatening any defense.

Additionally, their 427 assists, ranked 4th, demonstrate their effective playmaking skills. This synergy on the ice makes them a formidable opponent for the Stars, who will need to fortify their defense to contain the Penguins’ offensive threats.

Defensive Strengths

Defensively, the Penguins have shown significant strength with 1081 blocks, placing them 8th in the league. Their ability to disrupt opponent plays with a high number of blocks will be crucial in limiting the Stars’ scoring chances.

Moreover, the Penguins’ physical presence is highlighted by their 1383 hits, ranking them 24th. While not the highest, their physical game is still a component the Stars will need to navigate carefully.

Goaltending Insights

The Penguins’ goaltenders have been a solid backbone for the team, with only 184 goals against, which ranks them 2nd in the league. This impressive stat indicates their goaltenders’ proficiency in keeping pucks out of the net.

Though their goaltending prowess is evident, the Stars might find an opportunity to exploit, considering the Penguins have yet to record a shutout this season. This could be a window for the Stars to find their scoring rhythm.

Key Players to Watch

The Penguins’ offensive charge is bolstered by players who excel in both scoring and assisting, making them dynamic threats on the ice. Their ability to consistently create scoring opportunities keeps opposing teams on high alert.

The Stars will need to keep a close eye on these key players to prevent them from dictating the game’s pace and outcome. Defensive strategies will play a crucial role in countering the Penguins’ offensive threats.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU Last 3: 0-3 (0.0%)
  • SU Last 5: 1-4 (20.0%)
  • SU Last 10: 6-4 (60.0%)
  • SU All Games: 33-18 (64.7%)
  • SU as Favorite: 27-15 (64.3%)
  • SU as Underdog: 6-3 (66.7%)
  • Puckline Last 3: 0-3 (0.0%)
  • Puckline Last 5: 1-4 (20.0%)
  • Puckline Last 10: 4-6 (40.0%)
  • Puckline All Games: 22-29 (43.1%)
  • Puckline as Favorite: 15-27 (35.7%)
  • Puckline as Underdog: 7-2 (77.8%)
  • O/U Last 3: 1-2 (33.3%)
  • O/U Last 5: 3-2 (60.0%)
  • O/U Last 10: 6-4 (60.0%)
  • O/U All Games: 24-27 (47.1%)

Penguins vs Stars Prediction: Over 6.0

The matchup between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Dallas Stars at PPG Paints Arena brings together two competitive teams with strong offensive capabilities. Dallas, with a record of 43-18-11, has demonstrated a consistent ability to score, as evidenced by their high conference and division standings. Their offensive prowess is further highlighted by their eighth rank in goals scored this season.

Pittsburgh’s record of 36-20-16 indicates they are also capable of putting up points, which aligns with their recent trends of hitting the over more frequently. Their record in the past five games shows a 4-1 trend for overs, suggesting that they are currently involved in high-scoring affairs. This trend, combined with their ability to score at home, points toward a potentially high-total game.

Head-to-head data from the previous season shows that games between these two teams have gone over in both matchups. Although they haven’t met this season, the offensive potential from both sides remains strong. The Penguins have a recent history of high-scoring games, and the Stars’ offensive capability further supports this expectation.

Given these factors, the prediction leans towards a game with more scoring than the set line of 6.0. Expect both teams to find the back of the net frequently, with a projected final score of Stars 5 – Penguins 3.

  • Penguins vs Stars Prediction: Over 6.0
  • Penguins vs Stars Score: Stars 5 – Penguins 3

Most Popular

To Top