The Pittsburgh Pirates will visit the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field for a regular season MLB game. Scheduled for Sunday, April 26, 2026, at 2:10 PM, the contest will be played under overcast skies with a cool breeze. The game will be televised on SN PT.
The Pirates come into the game with a record of 16-11, ranking third in the NL Central and riding a two-game winning streak. Their recent outings have been favorable, including back-to-back wins over the Brewers with scores of 6-3 and 6-0. Managed by Don Kelly, the Pirates’ strength lies in their solid division record of 6-2 this season.
Meanwhile, the Brewers hold a 13-13 record and sit fifth in the NL Central. They have struggled recently, suffering four consecutive losses, two of which were against the Pirates. Under the management of Pat Murphy, the Brewers aim to rebound and improve their 7-7 home record in this upcoming game.
Brewers vs Pirates At a Glance
- Game Time: Scheduled for Sunday, April 26, 2026, at 2:10 PM.
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI, with a retractable roof.
- Weather: Cool day expected with a light breeze and overcast clouds.
- TV Broadcast: Available on SN PT.
- Team Records: Pirates hold a 16-11 record while the Brewers are at 13-13.
- Betting Odds: Brewers moneyline at -127, Pirates at +108.
Brewers Prepare for Crucial Showdown with Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Team Overview
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter the game with a batting average of .231, ranking them 18th in the league. Their on-base percentage sits at .326, placing them at 10th overall, indicating a solid ability to get on base.
Despite their struggles in slugging, where they rank 23rd with a .349 percentage, the Pirates have managed to hit 19 home runs, holding the 17th position in this category. They also rank high in doubles, with 37 to their credit, securing the 14th spot.
Pirates Pitching Analysis
On the mound, the Pirates have posted a respectable team ERA of 4.01, ranking them 13th in the league. Their pitching staff has limited opponents to a .242 batting average against, which is 14th best.
Pirates’ pitchers have given up 24 home runs, ranking 5th, and have secured 6 quality starts, placing them 10th. They have managed to strike out 232 batters, which ranks them 13th overall.
Key Players to Watch
Carmen Mlodzinski is expected to start for the Pirates, boasting a 3.28 ERA with 26 strikeouts in the 2026 regular season. His ability to control the game will be crucial against the Brewers’ lineup.
Offensively, watch for contributions from the Pirates’ lineup, especially in generating walks, where they rank 3rd with 124 walks this season. Their base-running prowess is evident with 35 stolen bases, leading the league.
Team Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 0-3 (0.0%)
- SU Last 5 Games: 1-4 (20.0%)
- SU Last 10 Games: 5-5 (50.0%)
- SU All Games: 13-13 (50.0%)
- SU as Favorite: 8-6 (57.1%)
- SU as Underdog: 5-7 (41.7%)
- SU in Night Games: 6-9 (40.0%)
- SU in Day Games: 7-4 (63.6%)
- SU in Home Games: 7-7 (50.0%)
- SU in Away Games: 6-6 (50.0%)
- SU vs Division Opponents: 6-5 (54.5%)
- SU vs League Opponents: 2-4 (33.3%)
- SU in 1-Run Games: 2-3 (40.0%)
- SU After a Win: 8-4 (66.7%)
- SU After a Loss: 5-8 (38.5%)
The Pirates’ recent struggles in one-run games could be a factor, as they have only managed a 40% success rate in such contests. Their ability to recover after a loss is notably weaker, standing at a 38.5% success rate.
Can the Pirates Continue Their Winning Ways?
Team Overview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have shown solid performance in the 2026 season with a batting average ranked 12th at .246 and an on-base percentage of .329, ranking 8th. Their slugging percentage, however, sits in the middle of the pack at 15th with a .380 mark, suggesting a balanced but not overpowering offensive approach.
Defensively, the Pirates’ pitching staff ranks 3rd in the league with a 3.30 ERA and holds opponents to a .218 batting average. This strong pitching performance is bolstered by their ability to limit home runs, giving up only 19, which is the 2nd fewest in the league.
Key Players to Watch
Ryan O’Hearn has been a standout performer for the Pirates, boasting a .330 batting average and contributing significantly with 16 RBIs. His consistency at the plate makes him a key figure in the Pirates’ lineup.
Nick Gonzales has been instrumental in the Pirates’ recent success, hitting .302 with 14 RBIs. His ability to get on base and produce in clutch situations has been a driving force for the team’s offense.
Pitching Matchup
For the upcoming game, Carmen Mlodzinski will take the mound for the Pirates with a 1-1 record and a 3.28 ERA. His ability to navigate lineups with a solid WHIP of 1.42 and 26 strikeouts will be crucial against the Brewers.
Opposing him will be Kyle Harrison of the Milwaukee Brewers, who holds a slightly better ERA at 3.06. However, Mlodzinski’s experience and recent form could give the Pirates an edge in this pitching duel.
Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU All Games: 16-11 (59.3%)
- Runline as Favorite: 10-4 (71.4%)
- Runline in Away Games: 9-5 (64.3%)
- O/U All Games: 15-12 (55.6%)
The Pirates have been strong as both favorites and underdogs, with a particularly impressive record on the runline. Their overall trends suggest a team capable of maintaining momentum and performing well under pressure, especially after a loss.
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction: Over 7.5
The upcoming game between the Brewers and Pirates features two pitchers who have shown decent performances this season, with Carmen Mlodzinski and Kyle Harrison both holding ERAs just above 3.00. However, recent head-to-head encounters have indicated higher scoring outcomes, with their previous meeting ending in a 6-3 win for the Pirates. Considering the current form and scoring patterns, this game looks likely to surpass the set total of 7.5 runs.
Both teams have shown tendencies to engage in higher-scoring affairs, especially in the context of their division matchups. The Pirates are on a winning streak, and their offense has been producing effectively, as shown in their recent games. With the Brewers eager to snap their losing streak, we can expect them to put up a fighting performance, potentially leading to a higher combined run total.
The Brewers’ recent struggles have seen them allow multiple runs in consecutive games, while their offense has had several close calls at hitting homers. The Pirates, on the other hand, have been displaying consistency in scoring, with multiple key players delivering timely hits. Given this dynamic and Milwaukee’s recent pitching woes, the likelihood of a high-scoring game increases.
Given these insights and considering the overcast conditions at American Family Field, the game seems primed for an offensive showcase. Therefore, betting on the game going over the total of 7.5 seems a prudent choice, with a projected final score of Pirates 5 – Brewers 4.
- Brewers vs Pirates Prediction: Over 7.5
- Brewers vs Pirates Score: Pirates 5 – Brewers 4
